NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	103		Excitement	6.1 [472]		MVP	Courtney Lee (HOU): +26.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	96		Comeback	1.5 [217]		LVP	Raymond Felton (POR): -17.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.15	0.10	-0.01	9	89%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.00	0.04	14	69%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chandler Parsons	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.01
Luis Scola	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	75%	0.08	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	65%	0.09	2	-0.09	3	33%	-0.06
Kevin Martin	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	0.02	-0.04	9	38%	0.10	5	-0.15	8	50%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	10	60%	0.07	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	11	80%	0.19	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.01	15	66%	0.15	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	5	83%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	10	61%	0.07	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	14	41%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	0.00	11	36%	-0.05	5	-0.12	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.6	25.8	14.8	26.2	2.7	36.3	133.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +39.0%

POR -7.3%

HOU +29.3%

POR -9.6%

POR -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	15.1	14.6	15.6	106.2	99.0	102.8
season	15.4	15.7		103.5	104.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.7	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.3	13.8	15.8	15.4	15.1
POR	13.5	17.5	13.0	14.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	58	60	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-8	23	14.3	16.3	-2.06	14.9	14.1	0.82
Courtney Lee	63	64	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.17	12	-5	17	14.7	15.9	-1.29	14.5	14.8	-0.26
Goran Dragic	45	45	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	-1	9	14.8	15.3	-0.48	15.5	13.8	1.68
Patrick Patterson	50	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-5	17	13.6	16.7	-3.14	14.9	14.3	0.58
Chandler Parsons	65	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	10	-13	15.7	13.9	1.83	14.2	15.3	-1.18
Jordan Hill	34	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.12	11	-4	15	14.2	15.6	-1.43	14.5	14.6	-0.10
Luis Scola	52	51	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.23	-5	12	-17	16.3	13.7	2.68	14.0	15.2	-1.24
Kyle Lowry	52	52	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.08	-1	8	-9	15.3	14.8	0.48	13.8	15.5	-1.68
Samuel Dalembert	36	35	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.16	-6	13	-19	15.9	14.7	1.21	15.3	14.2	1.05
Kevin Martin	30	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.12	-8	15	-23	16.9	14.3	2.55	14.9	14.5	0.39

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	33	30	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.18	-4	-3	-1	14.7	14.5	0.21	14.4	15.4	-0.97
Jamal Crawford	58	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.35	8	-15	23	14.5	14.7	-0.18	15.2	15.0	0.13
Craig Smith	10	9	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.10	-10	3	-13	16.4	14.4	2.02	12.8	15.3	-2.56
Marcus Camby	36	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	2	-11	14.5	14.7	-0.18	14.9	15.2	-0.34
Nicolas Batum	53	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-5	3	13.8	15.5	-1.67	14.3	16.0	-1.79
Raymond Felton	64	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-5	3	14.3	15.1	-0.76	16.0	13.2	2.86
Wesley Matthews	72	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-2	-3	15.5	12.0	3.43	15.1	15.1	0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	77	79	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	-5	3	14.7	14.1	0.61	15.7	12.7	2.99
Gerald Wallace	82	83	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.35	-9	2	-11	14.2	16.7	-2.46	14.9	16.3	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 99, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.17,0.14,0.28,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.3%
LAC 98, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.02,0	92.8%
LAL 122, WAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.24,0.29,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.7%