NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	111		Excitement	7.3 [404]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +30.3%
Houston Rockets	115		Comeback	9.4 [332]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -19.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.08	0.00	5	110%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Enes Kanter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	12	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alex Abrines	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	14	37%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Semaj Christon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	0.01	-0.17	0.02	43	49%	-0.10	4	-0.09	18	83%	0.07

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3	0.30	0.08	0.16	-0.06	17	65%	0.50	7	-0.20	20	90%	0.12
Patrick Beverley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.13	-0.00	9	75%	0.26	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.05	0.02	14	70%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.05	0.03	14	69%	0.18	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	70%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Clint Capela	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	8	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	8	22%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	2.8	31.4	16.0	31.1	2.5	38.3	152.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +79.0%

HOU +5.6%

OKC -11.2%

OKC -22.8%

OKC -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	HOU	NBA	OKC	HOU	NBA
this game	14.6	14.7	14.8	112.1	117.3	107.7
season	14.0	13.7		107.0	113.2
opponent	14.9	15.1		108.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.2	14.9	15.4	13.8	14.6
HOU	15.2	13.3	15.9	14.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	41	40	0.37	-0.87	1.23	-0.13	17	-21	38	14.3	14.8	-0.47	16.6	13.3	3.26
Steven Adams	55	56	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.36	18	-22	40	13.9	15.4	-1.44	15.6	13.5	2.14
Alex Abrines	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	0	-4	16.8	14.3	2.43	12.7	14.9	-2.21
Domantas Sabonis	5	5	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	1	-6	12.8	14.7	-1.86	14.0	14.7	-0.71
Russell Westbrook	85	85	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.46	11	-15	26	14.4	15.4	-0.92	15.0	12.5	2.55
Doug McDermott	31	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	3	-10	14.9	14.4	0.44	13.2	15.3	-2.08
Kyle Singler	23	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	0	-4	13.1	15.0	-1.87	13.0	15.2	-2.22
Enes Kanter	17	17	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	5	-14	16.5	14.2	2.37	11.1	15.4	-4.30
Semaj Christon	14	13	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.08	-15	11	-26	15.4	14.4	0.92	12.5	15.0	-2.55
Andre Roberson	74	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-2	0	14.8	13.8	1.02	15.4	12.6	2.84
Victor Oladipo	87	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.45	0	-4	4	14.0	18.7	-4.76	14.9	13.0	1.93
Jerami Grant	54	53	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.34	-20	16	-36	15.6	13.3	2.30	14.0	15.5	-1.55

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	65	66	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.24	15	-11	26	13.7	16.5	-2.82	14.5	14.6	-0.11
Trevor Ariza	82	82	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.30	6	-2	8	14.7	14.3	0.43	14.5	14.8	-0.24
Lou Williams	45	45	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	-14	32	13.1	16.0	-2.97	15.5	13.8	1.65
Nene	49	49	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.22	8	-4	12	15.1	14.3	0.78	15.2	13.9	1.26
James Harden	73	74	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	2	0	15.4	12.6	2.84	14.8	13.8	1.02
Patrick Beverley	70	70	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.51	-7	11	-18	14.7	14.5	0.19	14.1	15.7	-1.54
Clint Capela	49	50	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	8	-12	14.3	15.1	-0.78	13.9	15.2	-1.26
Ryan Anderson	57	59	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	0.20	-18	22	-40	15.9	12.9	3.00	14.2	15.1	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.28,0.38,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.53,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.97,1	92.5%
SAC 85, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.26,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.99,1,1	91.5%
POR 92, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.2,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.25,0.2,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.95,1	91.4%