NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	92		Excitement	6.6 [487]		MVP	Raja Bell (UTA): +25.2%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	8.4 [246]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -35.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	13	63%	0.20	2	-0.15	4	50%	-0.03
Damon Stoudamire	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	12	62%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04	0.08	-0.03	0.01	13	70%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Dale Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	0.00	16	51%	-0.00	3	-0.06	11	91%	0.05
Vladimir Stepania	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.36	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.36,-0.36	-0.20	-0.17	-0.01	14	21%	-0.23	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.09	0.17	0.01	11	73%	0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.13	0.02	13	60%	0.20	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.06	0.03	10	73%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.04	0.00	8	82%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Ben Handlogten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	2	80%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	15	47%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	5	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	28.0	14.8	25.0	1.8	31.9	128.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +74.9%

POR -7.9%

POR -29.0%

UTA +19.9%

POR -7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	17.0	17.3	15.7	107.0	120.7	100.5
season	17.1	17.2		101.5	99.4
opponent	15.2	15.7		100.8	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.8	18.6	18.1	16.5	17.0
UTA	19.5	16.4	18.8	14.7	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy Murray	3	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-6	5	8.3	17.3	-8.98	4.5	17.6	-13.11
Zach Randolph	65	62	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-8	9	15.0	23.1	-8.06	17.7	16.0	1.71
Ruben Patterson	28	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.19	-11	4	-15	20.9	15.1	5.83	15.5	18.2	-2.67
Damon Stoudamire	72	70	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-3	-1	17.6	14.1	3.50	17.4	16.7	0.73
Vladimir Stepania	29	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	1	-9	19.2	15.9	3.33	15.5	18.2	-2.67
Rasheed Wallace	72	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.39	5	-12	17	16.3	20.6	-4.35	17.8	14.6	3.18
Dale Davis	51	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-10	13	16.9	17.2	-0.29	19.3	14.5	4.82
Bonzi Wells	62	58	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.38	-6	-1	-5	16.3	18.9	-2.60	18.0	15.6	2.42
Jeff McInnis	48	45	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.30	-14	7	-21	17.9	15.9	1.93	15.5	19.5	-4.00

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	46	48	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.26	18	-11	29	15.7	19.3	-3.64	18.7	14.8	3.91
Greg Ostertag	70	72	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-4	15	17.2	17.6	-0.34	17.2	16.1	1.02
Carlos Arroyo	73	77	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.23	13	-6	19	17.0	19.7	-2.67	16.1	24.4	-8.31
Andrei Kirilenko	54	56	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.43	4	3	1	17.4	17.2	0.17	17.3	16.4	0.87
Sasha Pavlovic	35	38	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.24	6	1	5	15.9	18.3	-2.40	18.6	15.7	2.83
Matt Harpring	52	54	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	7	-7	17.7	16.5	1.25	15.1	20.2	-5.18
Jarron Collins	21	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.11	1	6	-5	18.5	16.9	1.65	17.7	16.7	0.98
Raul Lopez	9	9	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	13	-19	19.7	17.0	2.67	24.4	16.1	8.31
Ben Handlogten	12	14	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	11	-15	17.6	17.2	0.34	16.1	17.2	-1.02
DeShawn Stevenson	38	40	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.00	-8	15	-23	19.1	15.7	3.38	15.2	18.6	-3.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.2,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.25,0.2,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 88, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.1,0.2,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.94,0.98,1,1	93.2%
GSW 88, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.26,0.37,0.51,0.28,0.32,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.91,1,1	92.5%
NYK 80, MIN 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.54,0.6,0.75,0.79,0.97,1,1	92.4%