NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	80		Excitement	6.2 [540]		MVP	Tom Gugliotta (MIN): +9.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Comeback	11.4 [149]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): -26.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wallace	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	61%	0.07	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	15	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	1	75%	0.04	4	-0.11	2	50%	0.02
Charles Oakley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	9	55%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
John Starks	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.08	-0.03	9	28%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.23	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	15	31%	-0.16	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.27,-0.26	-0.16	-0.13	-0.02	17	34%	-0.16	3	-0.11	4	25%	-0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	11	73%	0.14	1	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.09,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	18	59%	0.14	6	-0.16	10	70%	-0.03
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.02	-0.03	16	50%	0.06	4	-0.10	8	100%	0.05
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.08	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.13	-0.02	7	30%	-0.14	1	-0.08	6	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.5	24.5	17.2	26.5	2.3	34.4	132.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +31.0%

MIN +17.7%

NYK -2.5%

MIN +3.4%

MIN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIN	NBA	NYK	MIN	NBA
this game	15.3	15.1	15.6	85.1	92.6	104.4
season	15.1	15.5		102.0	103.3
opponent	15.5	16.1		105.3	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.4	15.0	12.6	16.9	15.3
MIN	16.9	16.9	14.1	13.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	77	78	0.02	-0.53	0.55	-0.01	1	-9	10	14.8	17.5	-2.69	15.7	12.8	2.83
Buck Williams	33	33	-0.02	-0.49	0.47	0.01	-1	-7	6	15.4	15.3	0.10	16.3	14.5	1.82
John Wallace	14	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.08	-4	-4	0	16.8	15.1	1.71	14.8	15.2	-0.42
Chris Childs	68	70	-0.25	-0.26	0.01	-0.34	3	-11	14	15.1	15.9	-0.77	14.8	16.0	-1.21
Charles Oakley	75	75	-0.26	-0.25	-0.00	-0.23	-1	-7	6	16.1	12.3	3.78	16.0	12.0	3.92
Charlie Ward	26	25	-0.26	-0.25	-0.01	0.06	-11	3	-14	15.9	15.1	0.77	16.0	14.8	1.21
Allan Houston	57	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.30	-3	-5	2	15.0	15.8	-0.84	14.5	16.2	-1.71
John Starks	48	50	-0.50	-0.01	-0.49	-0.21	-10	2	-12	15.2	15.5	-0.33	14.0	16.4	-2.34
Patrick Ewing	72	72	-0.70	0.19	-0.89	-0.29	-14	6	-20	15.1	16.0	-0.93	14.6	17.0	-2.39

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	84	84	0.78	-0.27	1.04	0.22	19	-11	30	15.3	13.9	1.40	15.9	10.9	4.96
Terry Porter	64	63	0.71	-0.20	0.90	0.24	16	-8	24	14.6	16.2	-1.55	15.5	15.0	0.44
Sam Mitchell	59	58	0.67	-0.16	0.83	0.29	13	-5	18	14.5	16.1	-1.60	15.3	15.4	-0.05
Stephon Marbury	86	85	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.30	6	2	4	14.8	18.6	-3.76	15.1	17.8	-2.71
Tom Gugliotta	73	72	0.29	0.22	0.07	0.32	-1	9	-10	15.1	15.5	-0.40	15.6	14.5	1.14
James Robinson	9	9	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	6	-4	18.6	14.8	3.76	17.8	15.1	2.71
Cherokee Parks	32	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	8	-8	16.6	14.4	2.18	13.7	16.1	-2.37
Chris Carr	31	31	-0.20	0.71	-0.90	0.04	-8	16	-24	16.2	14.6	1.55	15.0	15.5	-0.44
Stojko Vrankovic	37	37	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.00	-7	15	-22	14.7	15.4	-0.77	15.0	15.6	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.54,0.6,0.75,0.79,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 86, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.25,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.09,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.54,0.72,0.61,0.72,0.98,1,1	92.5%
POR 92, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.2,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.25,0.2,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.95,1	92.4%
MIN 88, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.1,0.2,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.94,0.98,1,1	92.3%