NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	97		Excitement	6.1 [621]		MVP	Al Horford (BOS): +20.8%
Boston Celtics	108		Comeback	1.9 [888]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (CHI): -8.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	5	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Zipser	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.03	0.04	7	87%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Canaan	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	11	59%	0.12	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	15	45%	0.10	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Nikola Mirotic	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	6	43%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Cristiano Felicio	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	4	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	0.02	-0.05	0.06	18	57%	0.06	4	-0.14	10	100%	0.04

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.09	0.04	11	78%	0.25	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.04	-0.02	19	63%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.00	9	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.06	-0.02	17	53%	0.15	3	-0.07	11	100%	0.05
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	11	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.8	31.4	16.8	24.0	3.4	36.6	139.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -13.9%

BOS +26.5%

BOS +4.0%

BOS +32.1%

BOS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	15.4	15.1	14.8	102.1	114.9	107.7
season	15.1	14.7		105.9	110.1
opponent	14.9	14.8		108.3	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.1	14.8	17.7	14.2	15.4
BOS	13.1	15.8	16.6	15.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Denzel Valentine	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	16.5	15.4	1.15	20.7	14.9	5.75
Anthony Morrow	33	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.07	1	-12	13	14.9	15.6	-0.67	15.1	15.1	-0.06
Paul Zipser	33	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-11	11	15.9	15.1	0.77	16.1	14.5	1.58
Michael Carter-Williams	6	8	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-7	3	15.5	15.4	0.13	11.1	15.5	-4.34
Nikola Mirotic	68	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-6	1	15.2	15.7	-0.45	15.9	13.2	2.63
Dwyane Wade	72	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-10	9	14.6	17.8	-3.23	15.1	15.1	-0.04
Robin Lopez	57	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.14	-3	-8	5	16.2	14.1	2.17	15.5	14.5	0.99
Bobby Portis	23	24	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-3	-5	15.6	15.3	0.25	13.2	15.8	-2.59
Cristiano Felicio	29	31	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	2	-15	14.9	15.6	-0.64	13.5	15.9	-2.45
Jimmy Butler	77	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	0	-11	15.8	13.4	2.46	15.2	14.5	0.69
Isaiah Canaan	75	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.15	-13	2	-15	15.2	16.2	-1.04	15.0	15.3	-0.23

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	43	43	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.23	14	-3	17	13.3	16.6	-3.39	14.8	15.8	-0.99
Isaiah Thomas	72	75	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-2	15	15.0	15.3	-0.23	15.2	16.2	-1.04
Avery Bradley	75	78	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	0	11	15.3	14.1	1.24	15.9	12.9	3.04
Marcus Smart	69	67	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.00	12	-1	13	14.9	15.5	-0.58	14.9	16.5	-1.54
Jae Crowder	66	68	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	2	7	15.5	14.2	1.26	16.0	13.9	2.03
Jonas Jerebko	21	19	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	8	-5	14.4	15.3	-0.86	13.1	15.9	-2.84
Terry Rozier	38	34	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	8	-5	14.3	15.6	-1.31	14.7	15.7	-1.00
Al Horford	64	67	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.07	2	9	-7	16.1	12.9	3.18	15.7	14.5	1.25
Gerald Green	22	24	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.18	-12	23	-35	16.4	14.7	1.71	16.6	15.0	1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.96,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 91, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.5%
MIN 70, LAC 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%
WAS 89, MIN 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.85,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.0%