NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	70		Excitement	6.2 [541]		MVP	Darrick Martin (LAC): +4.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	81		Comeback	2.4 [573]		LVP	Tom Gugliotta (MIN): -46.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	14	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Carr	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shane Heal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Mitchell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Stojko Vrankovic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	10	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Doug West	-0.11	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	10	36%	-0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Terry Porter	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.47	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.27,-0.31,-0.36,-0.39,-0.41,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47	-0.26	-0.19	0.01	17	37%	-0.26	6	-0.20	14	71%	-0.04

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	5	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	78%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	13	73%	0.12	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	17	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	8	50%	-0.04
Kevin Duckworth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	4	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.05	-0.04	10	25%	-0.07	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	10	10%	-0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.6	26.3	7.6	31.1	0.1	37.6	128.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +26.7%

LAC +5.0%

LAC +15.4%

LAC +3.0%

MIN -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	14.9	16.6	15.6	76.9	88.0	104.4
season	15.5	15.8		103.3	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.5		105.8	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.3	16.9	14.9	14.8	14.9
LAC	16.7	17.4	17.8	14.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stojko Vrankovic	37	37	0.13	-0.64	0.77	-0.10	8	-19	27	14.4	15.3	-0.85	20.1	14.2	5.94
Cherokee Parks	3	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-9	7	17.7	14.8	2.85	15.7	16.6	-0.92
Doug West	51	52	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	-0.06	0	-11	11	15.1	14.7	0.33	18.7	13.8	4.92
Terry Porter	35	38	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	-0.15	3	-14	17	14.5	15.2	-0.65	19.8	14.3	5.56
Shane Heal	28	27	-0.14	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-6	1	14.5	15.1	-0.60	15.0	17.2	-2.20
Kevin Garnett	70	73	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-9	7	14.2	17.3	-3.15	17.2	14.2	3.02
James Robinson	39	39	-0.33	-0.18	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-2	-7	13.9	15.7	-1.82	13.3	18.9	-5.64
Tom Gugliotta	75	74	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-4	-3	14.7	16.0	-1.32	17.1	14.1	3.04
Chris Carr	33	32	-0.43	-0.08	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-1	-9	15.9	14.4	1.52	14.1	17.9	-3.82
Dean Garrett	34	34	-0.50	-0.01	-0.50	-0.06	-15	4	-19	16.2	14.1	2.07	14.9	17.5	-2.56
Sam Mitchell	50	51	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.10	-16	5	-21	16.1	13.4	2.73	13.6	20.2	-6.61

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	33	31	0.73	-0.22	0.95	0.17	19	-8	27	15.2	17.3	-2.19	15.7	14.5	1.26
Stanley Roberts	62	61	0.63	-0.12	0.75	0.13	17	-6	23	15.4	18.9	-3.43	15.9	12.8	3.10
Darrick Martin	43	42	0.60	-0.09	0.69	0.22	13	-2	15	14.2	18.6	-4.45	15.3	14.6	0.65
Eric Piatkowski	18	18	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	2	7	15.7	16.8	-1.03	18.2	14.1	4.13
Rodney Rogers	83	82	0.51	-0.00	0.51	0.22	10	1	9	16.6	16.1	0.49	15.0	14.3	0.64
Terry Dehere	28	27	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	0	11	16.0	16.8	-0.80	14.1	15.2	-1.14
Lamond Murray	17	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	16.7	16.5	0.19	14.1	15.1	-1.00
Lorenzen Wright	6	6	-0.02	0.53	-0.55	-0.02	0	11	-11	14.2	16.7	-2.55	16.2	14.8	1.34
Pooh Richardson	49	49	-0.09	0.60	-0.69	-0.03	-2	13	-15	18.6	14.2	4.45	14.6	15.3	-0.65
Kevin Duckworth	20	20	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	16	-21	21.4	15.2	6.19	12.7	15.5	-2.77
Malik Sealy	46	46	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.04	-9	20	-29	17.2	15.9	1.33	14.1	15.8	-1.67
Loy Vaught	55	55	-0.23	0.74	-0.97	0.00	-8	19	-27	17.0	15.8	1.20	14.1	16.1	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 93, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.84,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1	93.6%
CHI 97, BOS 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%
GSW 107, POR 129	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.55,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.91,0.87,0.93,1,1,1,1	93.1%