inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 104 Excitement5.1 [804] MVPIsaiah Thomas (BOS): +14.0%
Chicago Bulls 95 Comeback1.2 [789] LVPAvery Bradley (BOS): -10.5%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.080.070.012160%0.285-0.141392%0.05
Kelly Olynyk0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.030.01491%0.1100.00333%-0.02
Al Horford0.100,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.020.001162%0.121-0.022100%0.01
Gerald Green0.090,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.10-0.000.011369%0.121-0.0300%0.00
Jae Crowder0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00961%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Jaylen Brown0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.01325%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Terry Rozier-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Marcus Smart-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.01831%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Avery Bradley-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.010.02940%-0.053-0.05250%-0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bobby Portis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.02-0.02757%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Jimmy Butler0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.12-0.010.071660%0.081-0.032383%0.01
Robin Lopez0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.030.03-0.02850%0.072-0.0400%0.00
Cristiano Felicio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00175%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Joffrey Lauvergne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00650%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Jerian Grant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Paul Zipser0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Michael Carter-Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Isaiah Canaan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.05-0.020.081054%-0.0500.00450%-0.03
Nikola Mirotic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.03-0.050.031152%-0.031-0.023100%0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.030.011244%-0.022-0.061100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.53.335.317.330.42.831.4148.9
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +42.1%
BOS +5.1%
BOS +9.5%
CHI -3.0%
CHI -3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSCHINBABOSCHINBA
this game17.014.714.8115.6103.3107.7
season14.715.1110.1105.9
opponent14.814.9105.9108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS17.116.814.420.017.0
CHI16.413.215.014.314.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Isaiah Thomas67680.66-0.160.830.1717-82516.817.5-0.7314.914.10.83
Marcus Smart61640.470.030.440.2190916.917.1-0.1314.415.4-0.95
Jae Crowder75770.460.040.430.3254117.116.60.4514.316.9-2.67
Al Horford67670.370.130.230.2254117.914.33.6514.415.4-0.91
Kelly Olynyk31320.270.230.050.1354115.617.7-2.0814.714.70.04
Avery Bradley63650.200.30-0.100.1427-517.415.91.5014.814.50.30
Gerald Green42430.050.45-0.41-0.0745-117.216.80.3515.314.21.14
Jonas Jerebko19200.010.49-0.47-0.0218-715.717.3-1.6415.814.41.47
Terry Rozier23230.000.50-0.500.0009-915.717.4-1.7215.014.60.41
Jaylen Brown210.000.50-0.500.09-312-1520.516.93.606.014.8-8.79

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Isaiah Canaan65630.01-0.510.52-0.3111-203114.315.6-1.3217.815.02.77
Cristiano Felicio2020-0.09-0.410.32-0.00-3-6315.014.60.3915.517.4-1.90
Robin Lopez4040-0.11-0.390.290.01-4-5115.713.91.8717.116.90.22
Jerian Grant98-0.16-0.340.180.13-101-1117.714.43.2917.017.00.02
Joffrey Lauvergne1714-0.20-0.300.11-0.11-3-6313.814.9-1.1413.917.6-3.70
Dwyane Wade7069-0.23-0.270.04-0.08-5-4-115.113.41.7517.714.73.01
Bobby Portis4242-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.18-3-6314.215.1-0.8418.315.92.41
Michael Carter-Williams1616-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.03-112-1314.214.8-0.6214.817.4-2.63
Nikola Mirotic6464-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.21-5-4-114.714.60.0817.216.40.78
Paul Zipser2928-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.12-8-1-714.115.0-0.8114.618.1-3.49
Jimmy Butler8886-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.29-4-5114.520.0-5.5517.016.70.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.3,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 113, HOU 1060.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.05,0.01,0.01,094.9%
MIA 112, PHI 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.39,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.2%
UTA 90, MIN 830.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.2,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,094.0%