NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	113		Excitement	5.7 [694]		MVP	Draymond Green (GSW): +11.5%
Houston Rockets	106		Comeback	1.0 [723]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -15.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Draymond Green	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.02	15	63%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.01	0.08	-0.02	22	59%	0.18	6	-0.08	10	70%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.00	20	62%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.02	9	55%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clint Capela	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.01	0.04	10	87%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Patrick Beverley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	54%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	14	47%	0.04	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	9	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.05	0.02	20	45%	0.00	6	-0.16	13	100%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	35.3	15.3	30.7	2.6	37.2	145.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +71.4%

HOU -33.0%

GSW +0.6%

GSW +5.9%

GSW +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	HOU	NBA	GSW	HOU	NBA
this game	14.2	13.5	14.8	108.7	101.9	107.7
season	13.5	13.7		114.9	113.2
opponent	14.9	15.1		108.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.0	16.2	14.3	14.7	14.2
HOU	13.7	12.6	13.4	14.1	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	65	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-3	13	13.9	14.8	-0.89	14.0	12.5	1.54
Klay Thompson	80	80	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.31	4	3	1	14.4	13.7	0.64	13.6	12.9	0.75
Draymond Green	77	74	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.28	5	2	3	14.2	14.5	-0.33	12.7	15.3	-2.64
Stephen Curry	74	76	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	-2	11	14.0	14.8	-0.79	12.9	15.0	-2.12
JaVale McGee	16	17	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	0	7	13.0	14.5	-1.47	14.6	13.2	1.36
Shaun Livingston	38	37	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	3	1	12.6	15.2	-2.62	13.5	13.4	0.05
David West	23	27	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	4	-1	16.8	13.5	3.26	15.4	12.8	2.69
James Michael McAdoo	11	10	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.07	7	0	7	10.1	14.7	-4.64	14.1	13.4	0.72
Patrick McCaw	26	26	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	3	1	15.3	13.9	1.42	12.2	13.9	-1.73
Zaza Pachulia	33	32	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	6	-5	15.2	13.8	1.42	11.9	14.2	-2.28
Matt Barnes	44	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.22	-8	15	-23	14.0	14.4	-0.42	14.1	13.0	1.13
Ian Clark	33	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.28	-11	18	-29	15.9	13.5	2.40	14.2	13.1	1.06

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	74	71	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.18	2	-9	11	13.5	13.4	0.03	15.5	11.5	3.95
Patrick Beverley	65	65	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.24	3	-10	13	13.4	13.6	-0.18	15.1	12.8	2.23
Clint Capela	67	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-4	1	13.3	13.8	-0.52	14.3	14.1	0.29
Sam Dekker	32	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	0	-7	15.0	12.8	2.19	13.4	14.6	-1.28
Nene	37	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-3	-1	13.8	13.3	0.52	14.1	14.3	-0.29
James Harden	85	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	2	-11	13.0	15.6	-2.60	13.5	17.7	-4.14
Lou Williams	69	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	-2	-3	13.8	12.7	1.07	14.0	14.8	-0.87
Trevor Ariza	91	91	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.20	-12	5	-17	13.1	15.7	-2.56	13.9	16.8	-2.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.05,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 104, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.3,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	94.9%
CLE 89, TOR 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.03,0.01,0	93.9%
MIL 97, OKC 95	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.34,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.08,0	93.8%