NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	97		Excitement	6.4 [580]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +41.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	95		Comeback	1.0 [369]		LVP	Andre Roberson (OKC): -8.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.42	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.42	0.02	0.40	-0.00	16	64%	0.51	5	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
John Henson	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.01	12	62%	0.14	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Jason Terry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	18	53%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Snell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03	0.11	-0.04	0.04	11	65%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	54%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	4	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Eric Bledsoe	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07	-0.12	0.03	-0.02	13	29%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.26	0.26	0.01	0.23	-0.03	34	52%	0.35	5	-0.08	9	67%	-0.07
Josh Huestis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.06	6	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	12	48%	0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	53%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.06
Steven Adams	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	8	31%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.7	25.3	15.6	26.6	1.8	31.5	129.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +43.8%

OKC -4.1%

MIL +0.2%

MIL +5.8%

MIL +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	OKC	NBA	MIL	OKC	NBA
this game	16.9	15.4	14.7	109.0	106.7	107.5
season	14.3	14.2		108.5	109.4
opponent	15.3	15.4		106.1	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.2	17.5	17.0	18.3	16.9
OKC	14.8	13.8	17.3	16.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	73	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.45	-1	3	-4	17.4	14.9	2.45	14.8	18.0	-3.15
Tony Snell	69	68	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.23	5	-3	8	16.9	17.0	-0.14	14.9	17.0	-2.07
Giannis Antetokounmpo	74	75	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	1	0	16.4	19.5	-3.03	15.5	14.9	0.66
Thon Maker	27	26	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	-6	14	16.0	17.4	-1.41	17.6	14.5	3.11
John Henson	53	54	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	0	2	17.7	15.8	1.86	15.2	15.8	-0.63
Matthew Dellavedova	46	43	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.24	1	1	0	18.2	15.6	2.64	15.7	15.2	0.50
Eric Bledsoe	46	48	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.23	-1	3	-4	16.2	17.7	-1.55	15.3	15.6	-0.27
Malcolm Brogdon	40	39	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.29	-4	6	-10	16.7	17.1	-0.35	15.2	15.6	-0.47
Jason Terry	17	19	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	3	-4	15.6	17.2	-1.60	16.9	15.0	1.88

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Huestis	51	50	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.57	21	-23	44	15.9	14.8	1.14	17.2	16.6	0.58
Steven Adams	60	61	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.23	-8	6	-14	15.5	15.3	0.21	16.7	17.6	-0.92
Raymond Felton	48	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.66	20	-22	42	14.2	16.9	-2.67	18.5	15.0	3.44
Patrick Patterson	23	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-3	4	16.3	15.1	1.20	17.2	16.8	0.37
Carmelo Anthony	66	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	1	-4	15.1	16.3	-1.20	16.8	17.2	-0.37
Russell Westbrook	76	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-2	2	14.8	19.2	-4.47	16.8	17.7	-0.88
Alex Abrines	20	20	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.34	-24	22	-46	15.9	15.3	0.62	13.2	18.0	-4.83
Jerami Grant	37	36	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.71	5	-7	12	15.1	15.6	-0.48	18.1	16.2	1.91
Andre Roberson	64	64	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.10	-22	20	-42	16.7	12.2	4.47	16.5	18.0	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.34,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 104, NJN 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%
GSW 113, HOU 106	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.05,0.01,0.01,0	93.8%
PHI 105, NJN 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%