NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	112		Excitement	5.6 [705]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (MIA): +10.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	102		Comeback	1.6 [937]		LVP	Justise Winslow (MIA): -9.4%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.12	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Gerald Green	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.00	0.04	-0.06	14	43%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.02	7	80%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Luol Deng	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	8	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Dwyane Wade	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	16	51%	0.12	4	-0.08	9	78%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.06	11	63%	0.05	1	-0.03	8	87%	-0.01
Josh Richardson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	16	42%	-0.01	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Justise Winslow	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	3	25%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	17	39%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.00	0.07	7	81%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.03	0.03	18	60%	0.09	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	21	57%	0.08	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Carl Landry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	9	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	9	29%	-0.03	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.7	2.4	27.9	15.8	27.6	2.6	29.3	136.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +33.9%

MIA +9.4%

MIA +19.6%

PHI -13.3%

MIA +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	15.2	13.6	14.9	112.0	102.0	105.1
season	15.5	14.8		104.5	97.7
opponent	14.2	15.1		108.0	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	13.3	15.7	14.9	17.2	15.2
PHI	12.4	14.3	14.5	13.3	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hassan Whiteside	71	69	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.33	11	-1	12	14.9	15.9	-1.02	13.9	13.0	0.90
Luol Deng	74	75	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.14	19	-9	28	14.5	17.2	-2.73	13.6	13.6	-0.07
Goran Dragic	73	73	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.08	17	-7	24	14.4	17.3	-2.86	13.7	13.2	0.55
Josh Richardson	69	69	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.32	3	7	-4	15.3	15.0	0.35	13.8	13.2	0.57
Justise Winslow	32	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.35	-4	14	-18	15.7	15.0	0.75	14.2	13.3	0.84
Gerald Green	41	41	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	7	-4	15.6	14.9	0.64	13.0	14.0	-1.00
Dwyane Wade	55	55	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	6	-2	15.5	14.8	0.75	13.4	13.8	-0.46
Joe Johnson	54	53	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	6	-2	15.7	14.7	0.99	13.5	13.7	-0.21
Udonis Haslem	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	16	-22	28.5	14.9	13.56	14.0	13.6	0.41
Amar'e Stoudemire	29	31	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.12	-1	11	-12	15.9	14.9	1.02	13.0	13.9	-0.90

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richaun Holmes	50	50	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.28	9	-19	28	13.5	13.7	-0.22	16.3	14.2	2.10
Ish Smith	79	80	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-7	4	13.2	15.1	-1.97	15.8	12.8	2.95
Carl Landry	21	22	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	3	-16	13.1	13.7	-0.63	14.0	15.6	-1.55
Hollis Thompson	67	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-6	2	13.4	14.1	-0.70	14.9	15.9	-1.07
Elton Brand	29	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-4	-2	14.1	13.4	0.77	14.3	15.6	-1.28
Jerami Grant	77	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-6	2	13.4	14.1	-0.70	15.6	13.8	1.84
Robert Covington	86	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	0	-10	13.4	14.9	-1.47	15.4	14.2	1.22
TJ McConnell	34	33	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	0	-10	14.8	13.0	1.87	13.4	16.1	-2.71
Isaiah Canaan	57	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.22	-9	-1	-8	14.2	12.7	1.48	15.0	15.5	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.39,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 104, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.3,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%
PHI 105, NJN 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.5%
GSW 108, MEM 95	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.47,0.3,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%