NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	108		Excitement	4.7 [867]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (GSW): +16.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	95		Comeback	1.0 [981]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -12.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.02	6	69%	0.16	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Stephen Curry	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.03	0.03	25	62%	0.19	4	-0.10	2	100%	-0.00
Klay Thompson	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	13	69%	0.10	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	13	46%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	71%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Festus Ezeli	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.04	11	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	7	84%	0.09	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	12	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	14	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	23	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	10	70%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	13	33%	-0.11	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	3.3	32.4	16.7	26.8	2.8	33.2	139.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +81.6%

MEM -12.7%

MEM -3.4%

MEM -17.3%

GSW +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MEM	NBA	GSW	MEM	NBA
this game	14.3	16.5	15.1	114.9	102.2	104.2
season	13.6	15.9		109.2	103.8
opponent	15.2	15.5		100.8	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.0	13.1	16.3	16.3	14.3
MEM	17.5	15.7	15.7	17.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	73	72	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.01	18	-5	23	14.5	13.6	0.87	16.0	18.3	-2.29
Andre Iguodala	57	57	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	3	7	14.0	14.8	-0.80	17.0	15.8	1.20
Shaun Livingston	41	39	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	7	-1	13.7	14.7	-1.00	16.6	16.5	0.08
Stephen Curry	77	76	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	2	9	14.0	15.6	-1.58	16.3	17.4	-1.02
Andrew Bogut	44	44	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	5	3	15.5	13.2	2.26	16.9	16.2	0.66
Draymond Green	65	65	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.07	8	5	3	14.1	14.7	-0.62	16.5	16.6	-0.13
Leandro Barbosa	8	7	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	7	-1	16.5	14.1	2.41	19.6	16.3	3.30
Klay Thompson	72	73	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	10	-7	14.4	13.9	0.57	16.1	18.0	-1.95
Festus Ezeli	5	4	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	10	-7	13.4	14.3	-0.95	22.5	16.2	6.25
David Lee	28	28	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.13	-8	21	-29	13.8	14.5	-0.73	16.4	16.6	-0.23

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Calathes	2	2	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-13	13	14.0	16.6	-2.57	19.0	14.2	4.80
JaMychal Green	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	8.0	16.6	-8.61	14.0	14.3	-0.30
Beno Udrih	16	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.03	-3	-10	7	17.9	16.2	1.72	15.1	14.1	0.99
Tony Allen	11	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.12	-9	-4	-5	17.5	16.4	1.06	13.5	14.4	-0.85
Zach Randolph	63	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-7	1	16.7	16.1	0.57	14.6	13.7	0.93
Vince Carter	50	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-11	9	16.0	17.1	-1.12	14.2	14.4	-0.11
Kosta Koufos	28	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-10	7	16.4	16.6	-0.13	13.9	14.5	-0.63
Jeff Green	62	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-3	-7	15.6	18.3	-2.71	13.9	15.1	-1.13
Courtney Lee	73	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-5	-3	16.8	15.3	1.49	14.6	13.5	1.10
Mike Conley	75	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	-3	-7	16.3	17.5	-1.22	14.0	15.6	-1.58
Marc Gasol	84	85	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.07	-14	1	-15	17.1	11.2	5.86	14.4	13.3	1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.47,0.3,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 140, TOR 126	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
CLE 100, DAL 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.22,0.26,0.16,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
LAL 103, SAC 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%