NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	99		Excitement	2.4 [1267]		MVP	Steven Adams (OKC): +9.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder	113		Comeback	1.6 [861]		LVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): -6.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boban Marjanovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	23	44%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	18	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	2	125%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.05	14	56%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Tony Parker	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.04	4	60%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
David West	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	0.00	0.05	5	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	7	83%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	8	78%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.15	0.01	0.13	24	62%	0.04	2	-0.01	12	100%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	21	58%	0.04	6	-0.05	6	100%	0.01
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.8	30.5	15.7	26.6	3.3	38.3	139.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +31.7%

OKC +2.4%

OKC +7.1%

OKC +6.7%

OKC +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	OKC	NBA	SAS	OKC	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	14.9	102.1	116.5	105.1
season	15.7	14.4		109.0	111.5
opponent	15.1	14.7		104.4	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.7	17.2	13.5	12.8	14.8
OKC	13.6	14.1	14.7	17.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	19	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.27	9	-23	32	12.5	15.3	-2.87	16.0	14.6	1.44
Danny Green	62	62	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.08	2	-16	18	15.0	14.3	0.73	15.6	13.7	1.82
Kevin Martin	13	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-15	16	12.5	15.1	-2.59	14.4	15.0	-0.56
Tim Duncan	67	68	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.43	12	-26	38	14.7	15.0	-0.27	16.1	12.0	4.15
Patty Mills	24	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-6	-2	14.5	14.9	-0.38	16.1	14.5	1.60
Tony Parker	45	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	-5	-4	16.2	13.6	2.56	14.4	15.3	-0.90
Kyle Anderson	29	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-7	0	12.9	15.6	-2.64	15.3	14.7	0.62
Boban Marjanovic	13	13	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.16	-13	-1	-12	16.5	14.5	2.03	13.5	15.1	-1.58
David West	20	20	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.16	-15	1	-16	13.4	15.1	-1.74	12.9	15.4	-2.53
Kawhi Leonard	75	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.03	-13	-1	-12	15.3	12.9	2.42	14.9	15.0	-0.07
LaMarcus Aldridge	69	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.10	-10	-4	-6	15.4	13.3	2.11	14.6	15.6	-1.00
Manu Ginobili	49	50	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	5	-24	14.4	15.1	-0.72	13.3	16.6	-3.32

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	44	43	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	6	2	16.0	14.0	2.08	13.6	15.8	-2.20
Kevin Durant	87	87	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	5	4	14.8	15.7	-0.88	14.8	14.7	0.09
Steven Adams	81	81	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	8	-2	14.7	16.2	-1.53	15.1	13.4	1.69
Russell Westbrook	77	78	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.06	14	0	14	14.6	16.0	-1.38	15.1	13.3	1.83
Dion Waiters	36	37	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.02	12	2	10	15.5	14.6	0.94	14.5	14.9	-0.39
Andre Roberson	66	67	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.15	13	1	12	14.5	15.7	-1.23	15.0	14.2	0.80
Serge Ibaka	68	70	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.20	14	0	14	14.4	16.0	-1.61	15.2	13.7	1.55
Randy Foye	24	21	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.27	-4	18	-22	16.2	14.5	1.73	13.7	15.1	-1.36
Nazr Mohammed	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	18.0	14.9	3.12	0.0	14.8	-14.78
Cameron Payne	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	18.0	14.9	3.12	1.0	14.9	-13.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 67, SEA 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
CHI 82, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.8%
VAN 80, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%