NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	67		Excitement	2.5 [1190]		MVP	Desmond Mason (SEA): +10.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	105		Comeback	1.5 [404]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -4.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawnelle Scott	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	12	44%	0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	7	36%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	10	30%	-0.02	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	-0.08	9	22%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	9	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	47%	-0.02	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.00	-0.01	19	60%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	13	67%	0.11	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.18	-0.00	0.15	23	65%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	8	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.01
Olumide Oyedeji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	44.5	1.8	25.1	14.7	23.2	0.8	24.3	134.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +21.9%

SEA +11.3%

SEA +13.2%

SEA +2.4%

SEA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SEA	NBA	SAS	SEA	NBA
this game	18.7	14.8	15.5	77.0	123.5	100.9
season	15.9	15.2		103.4	103.8
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.5	96.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.9	16.3	19.5	21.4	18.7
SEA	14.9	15.7	13.9	14.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	24	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-38	38	18.0	18.9	-0.90	15.6	14.5	1.17
Shawnelle Scott	53	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.45	-18	-20	2	18.8	18.5	0.25	14.9	14.6	0.38
Terry Porter	20	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-35	32	15.0	19.7	-4.75	18.2	13.7	4.46
Danny Ferry	41	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.23	-14	-24	10	17.3	19.9	-2.58	15.8	13.9	1.87
Tim Duncan	37	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-29	20	18.0	19.2	-1.19	15.8	14.1	1.67
Avery Johnson	33	33	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.31	-19	-19	0	19.7	18.0	1.63	13.8	15.4	-1.64
Sean Elliott	24	23	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	-27	16	18.2	18.8	-0.62	14.1	15.0	-0.90
Steve Kerr	42	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.34	-22	-16	-6	18.5	18.8	-0.39	15.0	14.6	0.40
Samaki Walker	52	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.61	-32	-6	-26	20.1	16.5	3.53	13.8	16.3	-2.56
Antonio Daniels	55	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.61	-32	-6	-26	19.8	16.7	3.16	13.6	16.8	-3.20
Malik Rose	54	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.47	-30	-8	-22	18.9	18.3	0.62	14.5	15.3	-0.74

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	67	68	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.39	30	8	22	15.0	14.0	1.00	18.4	19.5	-1.05
Desmond Mason	49	51	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.56	35	3	32	14.3	15.5	-1.23	18.6	18.7	-0.11
Rashard Lewis	70	72	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.51	32	6	26	14.8	14.7	0.07	18.4	19.7	-1.30
Patrick Ewing	60	59	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.37	25	13	12	14.7	15.0	-0.24	18.8	18.3	0.49
Olumide Oyedeji	53	54	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.49	29	9	20	14.8	14.7	0.11	18.9	18.3	0.52
David Wingate	16	17	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.18	12	26	-14	14.2	14.9	-0.66	17.5	18.9	-1.40
Shammond Williams	24	25	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.22	11	27	-16	14.3	15.0	-0.69	19.2	18.4	0.76
Emanual Davis	36	36	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.05	3	35	-32	15.5	14.3	1.23	18.7	18.6	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, OKC 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
CHI 82, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	97.4%
HOU 93, PHI 121	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%