NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	93		Excitement	2.9 [1201]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +19.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	121		Comeback	1.4 [921]		LVP	James Ennis III (HOU): -6.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.03	26	62%	0.13	6	-0.06	8	87%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	7	72%	0.05	2	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Nene	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vincent Edwards	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Clark	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	13	28%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Gerald Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.07	16	50%	-0.04	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
James Ennis III	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	0.04	7	41%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.02	0.00	16	65%	0.22	2	-0.03	17	82%	0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.01	10	64%	0.10	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.04
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	112%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.07	13	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Jonah Bolden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	12	32%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	3.4	33.5	16.3	29.5	3.4	25.5	141.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +24.2%

PHI +15.9%

PHI +11.1%

HOU -4.9%

PHI +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHI	NBA	HOU	PHI	NBA
this game	14.6	13.7	14.3	93.0	117.5	109.3
season	14.8	14.0		114.0	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.4		108.1	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.3	15.2	16.8	11.3	14.6
PHI	13.0	12.6	12.5	16.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquese Chriss	16	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-26	24	12.0	15.1	-3.14	15.7	13.4	2.35
Vincent Edwards	25	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-31	34	11.3	15.8	-4.48	16.8	12.7	4.14
Nene	16	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-26	24	16.1	14.4	1.77	14.9	13.5	1.38
Gary Clark	29	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-24	20	12.0	15.7	-3.77	15.8	12.9	2.90
Kenneth Faried	45	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	-19	10	15.5	13.9	1.54	14.4	13.2	1.19
PJ Tucker	63	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.34	-21	-7	-14	15.4	13.4	2.00	12.5	15.9	-3.44
James Harden	66	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.36	-23	-5	-18	15.5	12.9	2.62	12.5	16.0	-3.51
James Ennis III	66	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.28	-21	-7	-14	13.7	16.4	-2.64	13.6	14.0	-0.43
Eric Gordon	56	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.11	-17	-11	-6	15.5	13.6	1.87	13.1	14.6	-1.55
Austin Rivers	57	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.43	-28	0	-28	15.1	14.1	0.96	12.6	15.3	-2.70
Gerald Green	61	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	-12	-4	15.1	14.0	1.09	14.6	12.3	2.28

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	63	59	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.24	23	5	18	12.8	15.3	-2.54	14.8	14.5	0.30
Joel Embiid	57	56	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.29	21	7	14	13.4	14.2	-0.89	15.0	14.2	0.82
Wilson Chandler	55	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.27	20	8	12	13.3	14.3	-1.06	16.9	11.8	5.12
Ben Simmons	60	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.21	18	10	8	12.6	15.4	-2.83	15.7	13.1	2.53
Corey Brewer	75	72	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.20	17	11	6	13.6	14.1	-0.44	13.3	18.1	-4.77
Mike Muscala	54	51	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.11	12	16	-4	14.6	12.8	1.85	12.6	16.8	-4.19
T.J. McConnell	41	41	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.11	10	18	-8	14.8	13.0	1.80	15.6	14.0	1.64
Jonah Bolden	25	23	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.09	9	19	-10	12.5	14.1	-1.62	16.9	14.0	2.95
Furkan Korkmaz	24	22	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.07	7	21	-14	14.4	13.6	0.82	13.4	15.0	-1.58
Landry Shamet	40	41	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.08	5	23	-18	15.3	12.8	2.54	14.5	14.8	-0.30
Amir Johnson	21	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	30	-32	16.3	13.1	3.19	11.2	15.6	-4.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 67, SEA 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
PHI 97, OKC 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
VAN 80, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%