NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	82		Excitement	2.8 [1188]		MVP	Anfernee Hardaway (NYK): +9.0%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	1.4 [964]		LVP	Eddy Curry (CHI): -12.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Jefferies	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	10	64%	0.00	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Linton Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	5	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Fizer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	4	56%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Ronald Dupree	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.01	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.21	0.00	-0.14	20	30%	-0.03	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Eddy Curry	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.00	-0.03	21	37%	-0.09	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	14	62%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.02	9	65%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	13	41%	-0.01	3	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	14	56%	0.02	5	-0.08	8	62%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	27.5	15.8	25.2	1.7	29.3	129.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +30.3%

NYK +6.3%

NYK +12.7%

CHI -1.0%

NYK +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	13.3	17.0	15.7	86.3	101.1	100.5
season	15.2	15.5		94.6	98.6
opponent	15.8	15.4		100.8	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.7	12.7	15.0	11.1	13.3
NYK	14.7	17.3	17.7	18.2	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Jefferies	5	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-13	12	12.0	13.4	-1.42	19.6	16.8	2.78
Jerome Williams	10	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-9	4	14.8	13.2	1.62	19.8	16.7	3.10
Kirk Hinrich	55	57	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.27	6	-20	26	13.6	12.9	0.69	17.8	15.7	2.18
Marcus Fizer	20	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	-5	-4	12.9	13.5	-0.57	15.9	17.2	-1.32
Linton Johnson	55	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-12	10	14.8	11.4	3.36	16.6	17.4	-0.79
Antonio Davis	72	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-9	4	13.6	12.6	1.03	17.3	15.5	1.80
Ronald Dupree	35	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.25	-20	6	-26	13.2	13.4	-0.28	16.4	17.3	-0.87
Jamal Crawford	83	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-11	8	13.1	14.8	-1.70	17.1	15.8	1.30
Eddy Curry	85	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	-5	-4	13.2	14.8	-1.62	16.7	19.8	-3.10
Jannero Pargo	55	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.20	-22	8	-30	12.0	15.1	-3.11	16.0	18.1	-2.11

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	87	86	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.11	11	3	8	16.9	17.6	-0.72	13.7	9.8	3.94
Tim Thomas	60	57	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.25	23	-9	32	16.9	17.0	-0.10	14.0	12.3	1.68
Dikembe Mutombo	61	61	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	-2	18	16.8	17.2	-0.37	12.9	14.2	-1.38
Anfernee Hardaway	56	57	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	6	2	17.3	16.5	0.86	12.0	15.3	-3.28
Kurt Thomas	69	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	6	2	17.6	15.4	2.18	13.1	14.0	-0.91
Shandon Anderson	64	65	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.04	9	5	4	15.9	19.2	-3.26	13.5	12.9	0.61
Michael Sweetney	26	27	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	8	-2	15.4	17.6	-2.18	14.0	13.1	0.91
Vin Baker	13	13	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.07	9	5	4	14.7	17.3	-2.64	12.5	13.5	-0.94
Moochie Norris	8	9	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	11	-8	17.6	16.9	0.72	9.8	13.7	-3.94
DerMarr Johnson	3	3	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	19	-24	28.0	16.6	11.39	19.7	13.1	6.53
Frank Williams	7	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.18	-7	21	-28	19.4	16.8	2.66	14.0	13.3	0.71
Nazr Mohammed	21	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.24	-11	25	-36	18.8	16.5	2.30	15.3	12.8	2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 67, SEA 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
UTA 87, OKC 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
CLE 87, ORL 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%