inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 87 Excitement2.5 [1253] MVPDerek Fisher (OKC): +8.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder 110 Comeback1.6 [1263] LVPMo Williams (UTA): -11.8%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alec Burks0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.01839%0.0100.002100%0.00
Jeremy Evans0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02160%0.0000.00333%0.00
Kevin Murphy0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Earl Watson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01464%0.002-0.00683%-0.00
Marvin Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Derrick Favors-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00650%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Enes Kanter-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.030.000.05667%-0.022-0.006100%-0.00
Randy Foye-0.020,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02743%0.022-0.0400%0.00
DeMarre Carroll-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.0430%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Paul Millsap-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.02539%-0.012-0.03862%0.00
Gordon Hayward-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.06-0.000.101456%-0.021-0.02887%-0.00
Al Jefferson-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.100.00-0.021331%-0.052-0.0300%0.00
Mo Williams-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.000.02736%-0.064-0.0600%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.01-0.045100%0.0930.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.00-0.00867%0.061-0.002100%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.00367%0.0500.00367%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01470%0.0400.002100%0.01
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.011161%0.055-0.04978%-0.01
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.070.000.061062%0.0100.004100%0.00
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Perry Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02267%0.0000.002100%0.00
Hasheem Thabeet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.0520%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.000.03671%0.032-0.032100%0.01
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.12-0.00-0.0720%-0.014-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.020.000.061366%0.048-0.12989%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.42.031.317.635.32.738.0154.4
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +43.7%
OKC +6.2%
UTA -3.2%
OKC +3.1%
OKC +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAOKCNBAUTAOKCNBA
this game15.513.715.488.8111.1104.1
season16.014.8104.6109.3
opponent15.515.1100.6105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA16.017.814.713.715.5
OKC12.813.512.516.313.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremy Evans9100.00-0.500.500.12-4-191513.415.7-2.2714.513.70.85
Kevin Murphy660.00-0.500.500.06-2-211912.515.7-3.2115.313.61.70
Earl Watson4141-0.01-0.490.48-0.134-273113.517.0-3.4814.413.31.16
Paul Millsap3839-0.12-0.380.260.11-8-15717.314.42.9513.713.8-0.12
DeMarre Carroll4039-0.16-0.340.190.31-16-7-915.815.30.4913.014.2-1.26
Randy Foye3637-0.19-0.310.120.19-13-10-315.715.40.2914.313.40.94
Mo Williams4142-0.25-0.250.000.28-18-5-1317.214.32.9813.114.2-1.03
Enes Kanter4849-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.17-3-201713.717.3-3.5714.612.91.61
Alec Burks2426-0.27-0.23-0.030.20-16-7-916.515.21.2613.313.9-0.63
Marvin Williams4950-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.290-232315.115.9-0.8214.013.50.53
Al Jefferson4948-0.30-0.20-0.090.41-241-2517.014.02.9412.914.5-1.55
Gordon Hayward5857-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.09-8-15715.415.6-0.1513.414.2-0.79
Derrick Favors5151-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.14-7-16915.116.0-0.9013.913.60.30

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kendrick Perkins55550.420.080.34-0.3125-22713.014.7-1.7416.114.71.45
Kevin Martin46450.370.130.230.13815-713.813.70.1716.015.10.95
Russell Westbrook57580.300.200.09-0.201761113.014.8-1.7816.214.61.58
Nick Collison39380.260.240.020.17320-1714.113.50.6415.815.30.54
Kevin Durant59590.250.250.01-0.22167913.014.8-1.7416.314.32.04
Thabo Sefolosha55540.240.26-0.02-0.111211113.414.1-0.7215.215.9-0.72
Serge Ibaka52530.230.27-0.04-0.24167913.114.5-1.3916.214.81.40
Derek Fisher39380.230.27-0.04-0.04914-514.912.92.0015.115.8-0.75
Reggie Jackson42400.200.30-0.090.03617-1114.813.01.7814.616.2-1.58
Hasheem Thabeet31300.000.50-0.490.15-528-3315.512.92.5413.016.6-3.62
Ronnie Brewer10100.000.50-0.50-0.12419-1514.513.70.8513.415.7-2.35
Perry Jones10100.000.50-0.50-0.12419-1514.513.70.8513.415.7-2.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 82, NYK 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,197.3%
DET 89, SEA 1170.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
NYK 88, PHX 1120.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%