NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	95		Excitement	8.4 [200]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BKN): +22.0%
Toronto Raptors	100		Comeback	2.4 [619]		LVP	Deron Williams (BKN): -22.2%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22	0.10	0.12	0.00	6	81%	0.22	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Shaun Livingston	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.08	-0.02	8	60%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Joe Johnson	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13	0.05	0.05	-0.03	13	62%	0.14	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Mirza Teletovic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	11	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Alan Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	2	40%	-0.03	2	-0.06	6	33%	-0.10
Paul Pierce	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	11	27%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Deron Williams	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23,-0.22	-0.05	-0.14	0.03	15	45%	-0.07	3	-0.15	3	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.10	-0.01	10	80%	0.22	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.04	0.19	-0.01	11	50%	0.22	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.06
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	9	60%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.09	0.03	21	54%	0.30	6	-0.27	14	86%	0.02
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.12	5	-0.15	7	71%	-0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	-0.00	10	55%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.00	8	12%	-0.11	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	3.7	29.2	16.3	28.5	3.5	45.3	152.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +41.3%

BKN -2.3%

TOR +45.6%

BKN -34.9%

TOR +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	TOR	NBA	BKN	TOR	NBA
this game	16.1	16.6	15.1	108.0	113.6	105.2
season	15.7	15.9		105.1	107.2
opponent	15.1	15.5		104.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	18.6	15.3	14.8	15.8	16.1
TOR	15.7	17.5	19.5	14.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	47	50	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.27	7	-12	19	14.8	17.6	-2.82	16.4	16.9	-0.53
Marcus Thornton	9	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-1	-3	18.3	15.8	2.51	14.1	17.0	-2.92
Andray Blatche	16	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-5	5	15.6	16.2	-0.63	17.2	16.5	0.74
Deron Williams	65	64	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-10	15	15.6	17.5	-1.95	16.7	16.5	0.26
Kevin Garnett	37	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.38	7	-12	19	13.5	18.0	-4.47	17.0	16.4	0.55
Mason Plumlee	35	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.12	-12	7	-19	19.1	14.1	4.94	16.1	17.1	-1.00
Joe Johnson	69	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.31	2	-7	9	15.4	18.6	-3.25	17.0	15.4	1.60
Shaun Livingston	51	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	0	-5	15.4	17.0	-1.59	16.3	17.1	-0.74
Alan Anderson	35	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	6	-17	18.6	14.4	4.18	15.4	17.5	-2.08
Mirza Teletovic	40	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	5	-15	17.9	14.5	3.38	16.9	16.4	0.53
Andrei Kirilenko	36	34	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.37	-4	-1	-3	15.9	16.2	-0.23	18.4	15.6	2.78

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	67	67	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.36	12	-7	19	16.6	16.7	-0.02	16.0	16.2	-0.21
Landry Fields	36	34	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.30	8	-3	11	14.0	18.5	-4.53	15.6	16.4	-0.85
DeMar DeRozan	72	71	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.33	6	-1	7	16.9	15.4	1.56	15.9	16.8	-0.92
Greivis Vasquez	42	44	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	-8	21	15.8	17.5	-1.69	18.1	14.1	3.98
Kyle Lowry	69	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	7	-9	17.0	15.2	1.83	15.4	18.8	-3.39
Jonas Valanciunas	61	62	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.28	-5	10	-15	18.1	13.4	4.62	16.7	14.5	2.24
Patrick Patterson	48	46	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	4	-3	14.9	18.8	-3.95	15.5	16.7	-1.17
Terrence Ross	45	46	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.09	-8	13	-21	18.6	14.7	3.90	15.6	16.6	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.55,0.84,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.84,0.9,1	92.3%
MIN 90, GSW 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.78,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.92,1	91.5%
NOH 67, DEN 76	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.44,0.38,0.28,0.41,0.66,0.6,0.8,0.78,0.95,1,1	91.4%