NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	85		Excitement	6.1 [619]		MVP	DeMarre Carroll (ATL): +23.9%
Atlanta Hawks	98		Comeback	1.2 [609]		LVP	George Hill (IND): -23.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	-0.01	11	65%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	16	55%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.02
Chris Copeland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	6	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
David West	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	13	57%	0.05	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Paul George	-0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.02	11	43%	-0.07	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	9	22%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.16	-0.08	-0.01	11	17%	-0.16	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.17	0.07	0.01	8	82%	0.24	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.09	0.05	9	91%	0.25	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	69%	0.14	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Muscala	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	20	48%	0.02	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.02
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	8%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	11	47%	0.04	6	-0.18	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.3	1.7	27.6	16.5	27.2	3.0	41.2	148.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +37.0%

ATL +23.5%

IND -4.6%

IND -6.2%

ATL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	16.2	13.1	15.1	86.7	100.0	105.2
season	15.8	14.8		102.7	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.2		104.7	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.5	17.0	18.3	14.5	16.2
ATL	12.2	13.7	13.0	13.8	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Copeland	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-13	13	0.0	16.4	-16.41	4.0	13.2	-9.24
CJ Watson	46	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-15	17	15.0	17.4	-2.43	14.0	12.4	1.54
Evan Turner	15	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-8	3	18.9	15.8	3.10	13.5	13.1	0.40
Ian Mahinmi	39	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-10	7	16.8	15.8	1.00	13.4	13.0	0.36
Roy Hibbert	37	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-5	-3	17.5	15.5	2.04	12.8	13.3	-0.49
Luis Scola	41	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-4	-5	16.1	16.4	-0.30	13.6	12.8	0.87
David West	78	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-7	1	15.6	18.6	-2.96	13.0	13.5	-0.52
Lance Stephenson	86	84	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-6	-1	16.1	17.6	-1.53	13.2	12.9	0.25
George Hill	73	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	0	-13	16.8	14.6	2.15	12.5	15.2	-2.79
Paul George	74	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.09	-16	3	-19	16.2	16.4	-0.23	13.2	13.0	0.24

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	82	82	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.15	16	-3	19	13.7	10.4	3.23	16.5	15.1	1.34
Paul Millsap	76	76	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.01	20	-7	27	13.3	12.5	0.77	16.6	15.0	1.66
Kyle Korver	75	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	1	11	12.1	16.5	-4.36	16.3	16.0	0.39
Jeff Teague	77	74	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	4	5	12.5	15.6	-3.15	16.6	15.3	1.26
Pero Antic	47	45	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	2	9	13.6	12.7	0.87	16.6	16.0	0.57
Shelvin Mack	21	24	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	9	-5	15.6	12.5	3.15	15.3	16.6	-1.26
Mike Scott	42	41	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	14	-15	12.0	14.0	-2.08	16.4	16.1	0.25
Mike Muscala	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	0.0	13.1	-13.14	3.0	16.4	-13.38
Dennis Schroder	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	0.0	13.1	-13.14	3.0	16.4	-13.38
Lou Williams	39	40	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	15	-17	14.0	12.6	1.42	16.3	16.2	0.05
Elton Brand	31	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	17	-21	13.6	12.9	0.73	14.8	17.0	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 116, TOR 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.81,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	94.4%
DEN 86, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.85,1,1	94.1%
BOS 98, NJN 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.9,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.9,0.9,0.95,1	93.9%