NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	116		Excitement	6.2 [623]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (TOR): +44.3%
Toronto Raptors	122		Comeback	1.3 [842]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -12.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.25	0.07	0.01	15	81%	0.32	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Derrick Favors	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	0.01	12	66%	0.12	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	7	84%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	17	38%	-0.08	2	-0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Joe Ingles	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	15%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Donovan Mitchell	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	23	39%	-0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.44	0.44	0.30	0.14	-0.01	22	74%	0.49	2	-0.04	17	76%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.20	0.04	0.01	15	76%	0.27	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.03
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	11	64%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	47%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
CJ Miles	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	25.7	15.4	28.5	2.4	39.6	139.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +62.1%

TOR +6.5%

TOR +0.8%

UTA -21.4%

TOR +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	TOR	NBA	UTA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.0	13.5	14.3	114.9	120.8	109.3
season	14.3	14.3		109.3	111.5
opponent	14.5	14.3		105.9	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.1	16.4	15.8	12.0	15.0
TOR	13.9	14.9	12.4	13.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royce O'Neale	15	14	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-9	12	14.4	15.1	-0.67	14.4	13.4	1.03
Jae Crowder	59	58	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.36	14	-20	34	13.2	17.5	-4.37	13.8	13.3	0.50
Kyle Korver	39	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.17	2	-8	10	14.9	15.0	-0.04	13.2	13.8	-0.53
Thabo Sefolosha	18	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-4	2	17.6	14.4	3.15	14.3	13.4	0.95
Dante Exum	40	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-4	2	15.0	15.0	0.05	12.4	14.3	-1.93
Joe Ingles	73	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-2	-2	14.5	16.2	-1.72	13.3	14.3	-0.98
Derrick Favors	60	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	7	-20	15.8	13.8	2.00	12.5	15.1	-2.61
Ricky Rubio	64	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.24	-7	1	-8	15.2	14.5	0.68	14.2	12.3	1.93
Rudy Gobert	65	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.15	-11	5	-16	15.2	14.6	0.51	14.1	12.5	1.62
Donovan Mitchell	72	72	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	4	-14	15.3	14.0	1.31	13.8	12.8	1.01

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	68	65	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.17	16	-10	26	13.5	13.6	-0.09	14.6	15.7	-1.13
Fred VanVleet	66	65	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-6	18	13.7	13.3	0.35	15.5	14.1	1.38
Pascal Siakam	67	67	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.15	12	-6	18	14.0	12.6	1.49	15.3	14.4	0.84
Serge Ibaka	61	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	-4	14	13.9	13.0	0.86	15.4	14.3	1.11
Kawhi Leonard	72	72	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	-2	10	13.7	13.2	0.52	15.7	13.2	2.47
Greg Monroe	40	40	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	10	-14	13.0	13.9	-0.86	14.3	15.4	-1.11
Norman Powell	46	48	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.15	-4	10	-14	13.0	14.0	-1.04	15.0	15.0	0.02
CJ Miles	6	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	8	-10	12.2	13.6	-1.46	14.3	15.0	-0.68
Delon Wright	40	41	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.15	-7	13	-20	13.2	13.7	-0.49	14.3	15.4	-1.18
OG Anunoby	39	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.25	-11	17	-28	13.4	13.6	-0.18	13.9	15.7	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.81,0.96,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 85, ATL 98	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1	94.4%
MIL 92, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.99,1	94.3%
NYK 88, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%