NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	93		Excitement	6.2 [545]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +36.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	86		Comeback	1.3 [527]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -17.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.36	0.20	0.16	-0.00	21	77%	0.44	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Kawhi Leonard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.01	7	79%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	15	48%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	8	53%	0.02	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	6	35%	0.00	6	-0.16	5	80%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	-0.01	0.00	11	76%	0.19	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.02
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	13	38%	-0.01	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.04
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	12	48%	0.03	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	9	22%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	13	32%	-0.08	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	3.0	36.2	18.4	27.5	3.6	37.0	151.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +61.3%

SAS +3.6%

MEM -14.6%

SAS +0.6%

MEM -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MEM	NBA	SAS	MEM	NBA
this game	15.4	16.8	15.4	103.3	96.6	104.1
season	15.2	16.5		106.4	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.1		99.1	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.4	14.8	17.1	16.2	15.4
MEM	19.3	15.9	15.6	16.5	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	72	71	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.14	13	-6	19	15.3	15.4	-0.11	16.9	16.6	0.35
Tim Duncan	64	63	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.30	4	3	1	15.8	14.3	1.53	16.8	16.8	-0.02
Tiago Splitter	56	56	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	-1	9	15.9	14.4	1.47	16.9	16.8	0.12
Tony Parker	74	70	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.37	0	7	-7	16.1	11.9	4.16	16.8	16.8	0.05
Manu Ginobili	48	49	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	-1	9	14.5	16.3	-1.79	16.3	17.5	-1.17
Danny Green	50	49	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.26	1	6	-5	15.8	14.8	1.00	17.2	16.3	0.92
Boris Diaw	39	37	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	2	3	14.1	16.3	-2.26	17.0	16.7	0.29
Matt Bonner	18	20	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	9	-11	16.2	15.1	1.08	17.7	16.6	1.18
Cory Joseph	15	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	5	-3	11.5	16.1	-4.59	15.5	17.1	-1.61
Gary Neal	14	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	11	-15	15.1	15.4	-0.25	16.5	16.9	-0.43

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerryd Bayless	44	46	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.35	15	-22	37	15.2	18.4	-3.17	15.7	15.0	0.61
Darrell Arthur	35	37	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-11	15	16.2	17.3	-1.09	14.6	15.9	-1.25
Keyon Dooling	7	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-6	5	17.1	16.8	0.34	14.8	15.4	-0.64
Quincy Pondexter	64	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-11	15	15.7	19.6	-3.91	15.2	15.7	-0.48
Tony Allen	52	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	0	-7	17.6	15.8	1.79	15.4	15.3	0.12
Tayshaun Prince	31	32	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.19	-20	13	-33	19.0	15.7	3.38	14.4	15.9	-1.42
Marc Gasol	74	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.26	-7	0	-7	16.8	17.2	-0.44	15.6	14.0	1.58
Zach Randolph	68	64	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.27	-9	2	-11	17.4	14.9	2.58	15.7	14.5	1.15
Mike Conley	70	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.21	-14	7	-21	17.1	15.8	1.26	15.6	14.6	0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.27,0.17,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, PHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	94.6%
ATL 98, ORL 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.19,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0	94.2%
NOP 116, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.25,0.22,0.34,0.4,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0	94.1%