NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	116		Excitement	6.6 [538]		MVP	Tim Frazier (NOP): +21.7%
Detroit Pistons	108		Comeback	1.1 [834]		LVP	Andre Drummond (DET): -13.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Frazier	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.10	0.11	-0.01	5	100%	0.27	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Julius Randle	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.08	0.00	19	62%	0.23	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06	0.12	-0.02	0.05	22	79%	0.32	9	-0.26	3	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	125%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	5	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	46%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Cheick Diallo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.01	20	56%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	5	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.13	-0.07	0.06	25	60%	0.10	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.06
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	23	44%	-0.04	4	-0.10	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	27.4	14.8	29.1	2.4	30.6	128.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +65.6%

NOP +15.3%

DET -12.3%

DET -18.7%

NOP +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	DET	NBA	NOP	DET	NBA
this game	13.3	15.2	14.3	113.7	108.0	109.3
season	13.4	15.3		110.2	107.5
opponent	14.0	14.2		109.0	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.0	14.4	11.4	13.6	13.3
DET	14.8	16.3	14.8	15.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	88	85	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.18	17	-9	26	12.6	17.9	-5.27	15.3	14.9	0.42
Julius Randle	74	71	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.07	18	-10	28	12.9	14.5	-1.68	15.1	15.4	-0.32
Anthony Davis	55	54	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-2	12	13.2	13.4	-0.17	15.1	15.3	-0.20
Solomon Hill	60	58	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.01	15	-7	22	12.4	14.6	-2.14	15.6	14.6	1.00
Tim Frazier	72	71	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	3	2	14.0	11.7	2.24	15.4	14.8	0.65
Darius Miller	43	43	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.23	-6	14	-20	14.6	12.4	2.15	15.5	15.0	0.47
Cheick Diallo	19	18	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	10	-12	15.2	12.9	2.27	16.9	14.8	2.10
Nikola Mirotic	66	66	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	17	-26	13.2	13.4	-0.20	14.6	16.4	-1.81
E'Twaun Moore	33	34	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.08	-8	16	-24	14.0	13.0	1.06	14.2	15.7	-1.49

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Calderon	43	44	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.26	10	-18	28	15.3	15.2	0.14	14.5	12.4	2.05
Zaza Pachulia	22	21	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-9	10	15.6	15.1	0.53	15.4	12.8	2.60
Jon Leuer	24	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-11	14	15.6	15.1	0.53	15.8	12.5	3.29
Luke Kennard	53	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.32	7	-15	22	14.8	15.7	-0.83	14.2	12.3	1.93
Langston Galloway	76	77	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-14	20	14.8	16.5	-1.63	13.5	12.6	0.89
Bruce Brown	39	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.00	-11	3	-14	15.9	14.8	1.19	12.2	14.1	-1.91
Glenn Robinson III	32	32	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.12	-18	10	-28	15.9	14.9	1.01	12.7	13.6	-0.87
Andre Drummond	74	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	1	-10	15.1	15.6	-0.53	12.7	15.0	-2.26
Blake Griffin	80	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	3	-14	15.1	15.6	-0.54	12.6	16.5	-3.88
Reggie Jackson	57	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.01	-18	10	-28	15.2	15.3	-0.14	12.4	14.5	-2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.25,0.22,0.34,0.4,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 90, SEA 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.04,0	94.2%
SAS 93, MEM 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.27,0.17,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.02,0	94.1%
ATL 98, ORL 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.19,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0	93.9%