NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	5.8 [620]		MVP	Shelden Williams (ATL): +13.1%
Orlando Magic	87		Comeback	1.1 [235]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -14.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shelden Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.02	6	92%	0.13	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	10	50%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Al Horford	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	64%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Josh Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.05	0.02	20	47%	0.08	2	-0.05	13	69%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	9	75%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	21	49%	0.03	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Salim Stoudamire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	7	39%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.05
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.03	0.05	15	61%	0.02	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	13	54%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.04	0.02	7	50%	0.02	5	-0.16	14	43%	-0.09
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.03	0.02	8	33%	-0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	30.0	16.6	32.2	2.5	40.6	150.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +7.0%

ATL +16.8%

ORL -3.0%

ATL +29.9%

ORL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	16.7	14.0	15.4	104.3	92.6	105.7
season	15.4	15.1		104.2	109.9
opponent	15.6	15.7		104.6	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.8	17.6	18.6	15.8	16.7
ORL	15.8	14.3	12.7	13.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	68	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.13	16	-5	21	16.5	17.1	-0.58	14.2	13.4	0.79
Josh Smith	88	89	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.11	16	-5	21	16.7	16.5	0.17	13.9	14.6	-0.66
Joe Johnson	94	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	16.7	0.0	16.66	14.0	0.0	13.98
Marvin Williams	76	74	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	6	-1	16.7	16.7	-0.01	13.9	14.2	-0.34
Al Horford	18	19	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	2	7	14.1	17.3	-3.15	13.4	14.1	-0.70
Lorenzen Wright	51	52	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	13	-15	17.5	15.6	1.90	14.0	13.9	0.09
Mario West	9	7	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	7	-3	14.8	16.9	-2.08	14.4	13.9	0.49
Shelden Williams	21	21	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	9	-7	18.0	16.3	1.79	14.1	13.9	0.21
Solomon Jones	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	9.5	16.8	-7.32	23.0	13.9	9.12
Salim Stoudamire	12	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	17.8	16.5	1.35	14.2	14.0	0.22
Acie Law	31	32	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	16	-21	16.6	16.7	-0.02	13.5	14.2	-0.73

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-10	9	13.9	14.0	-0.08	17.9	16.5	1.42
Hedo Turkoglu	70	74	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.25	7	-18	25	13.5	15.3	-1.76	17.1	15.0	2.11
Carlos Arroyo	30	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-10	9	13.2	14.3	-1.14	17.4	16.4	1.05
Keyon Dooling	46	46	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-11	11	12.6	15.3	-2.73	16.0	17.2	-1.21
Brian Cook	9	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-4	-3	18.0	13.6	4.45	12.7	17.1	-4.42
Maurice Evans	31	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-11	11	15.2	13.4	1.81	16.5	16.7	-0.22
Keith Bogans	66	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-2	-7	13.7	14.5	-0.79	16.8	16.4	0.38
Jameer Nelson	49	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	3	-17	15.3	12.6	2.73	16.8	16.5	0.34
Dwight Howard	83	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	-1	-9	14.0	13.9	0.08	16.5	17.9	-1.42
Rashard Lewis	75	71	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.13	-20	9	-29	13.9	14.2	-0.22	16.7	16.7	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.19,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 95, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0	94.4%
SAS 93, MEM 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.27,0.17,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.02,0	94.2%
NOP 116, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.25,0.22,0.34,0.4,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0	93.9%