inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 89 Excitement7.0 [390] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +9.4%
San Antonio Spurs 93 Comeback1.2 [851] LVPZach Randolph (MEM): -36.4%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Quincy Pondexter0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.03-0.00658%0.0600.0000%0.00
Keyon Dooling0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.01-0.00383%0.0600.0000%0.00
Tony Allen0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.100.12-0.021131%0.082-0.044100%0.06
Mike Conley0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.010.030.000.021453%0.051-0.04667%-0.01
Jon Leuer0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Darrell Arthur-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.00633%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.02520%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Tony Wroten-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Marc Gasol-0.120,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.12-0.03-0.080.011243%-0.101-0.024100%0.02
Jerryd Bayless-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13-0.02-0.090.021845%-0.101-0.02475%-0.00
Zach Randolph-0.360,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.26,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36-0.15-0.200.011834%-0.154-0.21837%-0.06

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.1,0.090.09-0.030.07-0.051449%0.143-0.05771%-0.01
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.00-0.00878%0.142-0.072100%0.01
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.00-0.02967%0.092-0.0300%0.00
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.01450%0.0300.002100%0.01
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.01-0.01550%0.0100.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01658%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.01430%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01540%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Danny Green0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.06-0.120.01869%0.021-0.1000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21-0.21-0.12-0.14-0.062034%-0.132-0.08450%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.73.832.917.732.43.538.51.815.9173.0
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +73.8%
MEM -19.0%
MEM -9.8%
MEM -0.3%
SAS +5.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMSASNBAMEMSASNBA
this game16.215.015.487.391.2104.1
season16.515.2102.9106.4
opponent15.115.599.599.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MEM15.219.515.514.416.716.2
SAS15.411.317.217.013.315.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Arthur24250.10-0.600.71-0.169-132216.516.10.3414.515.1-0.61
Keyon Dooling24240.08-0.580.66-0.075-91417.215.91.3814.815.0-0.25
Jon Leuer120.00-0.500.51-0.021-5616.016.2-0.200.015.3-15.28
Tony Wroten57-0.12-0.380.260.02-51-619.016.12.956.915.6-8.72
Tayshaun Prince3232-0.23-0.270.050.10-117-1816.116.3-0.1915.314.80.44
Quincy Pondexter7371-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.363-71016.315.90.4214.815.4-0.54
Mike Conley6867-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.341-5615.218.1-2.8416.112.93.23
Tony Allen5048-0.33-0.17-0.150.14-1612-2816.915.61.3015.514.50.98
Marc Gasol8281-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.442-6815.319.7-4.3615.612.53.15
Jerryd Bayless6567-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.43-2-2016.216.10.1014.016.8-2.77
Zach Randolph8686-0.560.07-0.63-0.36-73-1016.813.13.6415.213.91.24

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kawhi Leonard76790.60-0.100.710.1615-112615.114.60.5416.315.90.42
Tim Duncan57590.54-0.040.58-0.0821-173814.615.5-0.8717.714.13.56
Danny Green52520.470.030.450.1212-82014.515.5-0.9416.715.70.93
Tony Parker80810.410.090.310.0512-82015.214.21.0216.514.91.63
Tiago Splitter69650.380.120.250.67-1014-2414.915.2-0.2515.417.6-2.19
Manu Ginobili56570.190.31-0.120.1322014.915.1-0.1915.517.0-1.48
Cory Joseph18200.060.44-0.380.29-812-2015.414.90.5615.216.4-1.18
Boris Diaw22220.060.44-0.390.12-26-816.914.42.4615.816.3-0.54
Gary Neal2623-0.100.60-0.710.22-1115-2614.615.1-0.5415.916.3-0.42
Matt Bonner5453-0.110.61-0.720.24-1216-2814.815.2-0.4715.816.7-0.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 99, CHA 1090.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.78,0.94,0.96,0.46,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.97,191.4%
HOU 98, WAS 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.92,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.77,0.91,191.1%
MIA 116, MEM 1260.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.89,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.91,1,190.3%