NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	99		Excitement	7.6 [330]		MVP	PJ Hairston (CHA): +23.9%
Charlotte Hornets	109		Comeback	1.5 [598]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): -13.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0.21	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.10	0.02	12	71%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	57%	0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.04
Norman Powell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,0.14,0.14,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.04	0.05	25	53%	0.01	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
James Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.05	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	58%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	8	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	29	31%	-0.13	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.06	0.19	0.01	10	70%	0.27	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.00	-0.02	22	66%	0.37	3	-0.21	9	78%	0.04
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	6	62%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.3,-0.08,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	24	48%	0.14	3	-0.20	8	87%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	26.6	15.4	28.3	1.8	36.4	1.8	16.9	152.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +68.5%

CHA +16.4%

CHA +15.6%

TOR -49.8%

TOR -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHA	NBA	TOR	CHA	NBA
this game	15.1	15.2	14.9	92.5	105.8	105.1
season	16.1	15.1		107.2	105.5
opponent	14.8	14.8		103.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	15.7	16.2	14.4	14.6	14.6	15.1
CHA	16.3	15.1	15.6	16.1	10.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norman Powell	7	6	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.04	2	-12	14	20.4	14.8	5.67	15.2	15.2	0.01
James Johnson	25	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-9	8	16.1	14.8	1.24	15.4	15.1	0.27
Lucas Nogueira	11	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-5	0	15.6	15.1	0.56	15.0	15.2	-0.17
Cory Joseph	72	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-8	6	13.9	17.7	-3.84	14.5	16.5	-2.06
Patrick Patterson	50	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-7	4	15.5	14.8	0.77	14.7	15.6	-0.84
Terrence Ross	76	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-3	-4	14.6	16.5	-1.86	15.0	15.4	-0.39
Bismack Biyombo	79	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-4	-2	15.4	14.5	0.85	15.7	13.7	2.02
Luis Scola	41	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	1	-12	16.0	14.6	1.33	15.6	14.9	0.75
Kyle Lowry	84	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	-1	-8	15.6	13.3	2.33	15.5	13.9	1.57
DeMar DeRozan	90	87	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	-2	-6	14.6	18.0	-3.41	15.0	15.8	-0.78

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	48	48	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.29	12	-2	14	14.2	16.0	-1.73	14.9	15.3	-0.43
Kemba Walker	86	89	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-1	12	15.0	16.1	-1.15	15.0	16.0	-1.04
Jeremy Lin	91	94	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-1	12	15.3	14.3	0.93	15.7	11.3	4.35
PJ Hairston	67	69	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	2	6	15.5	14.5	0.96	15.1	15.3	-0.21
Marvin Williams	63	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-2	14	14.9	15.6	-0.69	14.8	15.7	-0.93
Frank Kaminsky	53	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	10	-10	15.0	15.3	-0.28	15.7	14.6	1.16
Tyler Hansbrough	16	16	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	6	-2	14.4	15.3	-0.92	16.6	14.9	1.76
Troy Daniels	24	26	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	14	-18	15.5	15.1	0.40	14.3	15.4	-1.14
Jeremy Lamb	28	31	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.14	2	8	-6	15.2	15.1	0.03	14.7	15.3	-0.64
Cody Zeller	39	43	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.10	-6	16	-22	16.6	14.3	2.35	14.8	15.3	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.78,0.94,0.96,0.46,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 98, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.92,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.77,0.91,1	92.7%
TOR 108, WAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.92,1	92.6%
HOU 125, MEM 126	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.71,0.95,0.96,0.46,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.91,1	92.5%