NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	98		Excitement	5.5 [698]		MVP	Michael Jordan (WAS): +27.3%
Washington Wizards	100		Comeback	1.6 [543]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -18.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.25	0.05	0.19	-0.01	21	55%	0.26	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.22	0.18	0.11	0.06	12	85%	0.22	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Juaquin Hawkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	62%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04
Moochie Norris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tito Maddox	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Yao Ming	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	0.02	15	47%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
James Posey	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	0.00	-0.05	8	22%	-0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.16	-0.06	-0.03	13	25%	-0.17	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,0.09,0.26,0.27	0.27	0.06	0.14	-0.08	26	59%	0.31	3	-0.03	7	71%	-0.04
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25	0.25	0.07	0.16	-0.03	17	70%	0.30	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.06
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	7	86%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	7	64%	0.06	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.07	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.4	3.7	33.0	19.6	28.3	3.5	41.3	1.6	11.8	165.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +58.4%

HOU -1.8%

WAS +5.3%

HOU -20.4%

WAS +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	WAS	NBA	HOU	WAS	NBA
this game	16.7	17.7	15.5	105.4	108.7	101.6
season	16.3	16.5		101.7	100.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		101.9	100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	19.1	16.9	15.5	15.9	16.0	16.7
WAS	17.8	17.4	15.1	20.1	19.1	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tito Maddox	1	0	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	0	-2	12.0	16.8	-4.77	0.0	17.7	-17.66
Kelvin Cato	6	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	0	-2	16.7	16.7	-0.06	16.3	17.8	-1.42
Moochie Norris	21	20	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	2	-6	16.7	16.7	-0.01	19.4	17.2	2.22
Maurice Taylor	45	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.45	10	-12	22	16.4	17.0	-0.66	18.3	17.0	1.27
Juaquin Hawkins	53	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.46	9	-11	20	15.5	18.3	-2.82	18.3	16.8	1.46
Glen Rice	22	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	3	-8	18.0	16.3	1.68	19.0	17.3	1.79
Eddie Griffin	43	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	5	-12	16.9	16.6	0.30	17.4	17.9	-0.54
James Posey	40	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	9	-20	18.0	15.7	2.33	16.8	18.3	-1.44
Yao Ming	69	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.40	2	-4	6	16.7	16.9	-0.21	17.1	19.4	-2.29
Steve Francis	87	87	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.48	2	-4	6	16.9	14.5	2.37	17.7	17.0	0.70
Cuttino Mobley	78	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	0	-2	16.6	17.6	-1.05	17.2	20.2	-3.03

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Oakley	41	40	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.19	10	-8	18	18.3	17.2	1.09	16.5	16.8	-0.30
Michael Jordan	86	87	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.45	0	2	-2	17.8	16.3	1.42	16.7	16.7	0.06
Jerry Stackhouse	79	78	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.37	2	0	2	17.7	17.3	0.41	17.2	14.3	2.85
Juan Dixon	55	54	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	-2	6	18.1	17.0	1.15	16.0	17.8	-1.81
Tyronn Lue	57	61	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	0	2	17.0	18.7	-1.74	16.5	17.1	-0.52
Brendan Haywood	59	60	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.23	-3	5	-8	17.1	18.7	-1.61	16.9	16.3	0.60
Christian Laettner	74	77	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	9	-16	17.6	17.9	-0.28	16.9	15.7	1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.92,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, CHA 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.78,0.94,0.96,0.46,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.97,1	92.7%
CHI 108, IND 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.74,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.96,0.98,1	92.5%
SEA 100, MIN 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.88,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.85,0.91,1	92.4%