NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	100		Excitement	6.2 [563]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +28.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Comeback	1.2 [792]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -16.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.29	0.01	0.25	-0.03	26	57%	0.36	4	-0.07	8	75%	0.02
Emanual Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	58%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.12	-0.01	12	41%	-0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Vin Baker	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17	-0.09	-0.06	0.01	19	50%	-0.08	6	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14	0.14	-0.01	0.12	-0.03	8	50%	0.14	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.03	-0.03	6	78%	0.11	3	-0.03	6	100%	0.06
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	11	69%	0.13	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.06
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.12	-0.07	0.03	14	71%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	100%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	69%	0.05	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.21,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.12	-0.03	21	48%	-0.03	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	26.4	15.6	26.2	2.7	36.5	1.4	15.2	148.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +12.3%

MIN +21.0%

MIN +32.9%

SEA -20.8%

MIN +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIN	NBA	SEA	MIN	NBA
this game	15.1	16.8	15.2	101.0	105.0	101.7
season	14.9	15.1		103.5	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.4		101.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SEA	14.2	16.8	15.0	15.2	13.9	15.1
MIN	15.8	15.9	18.5	17.5	16.1	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Foster	30	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-12	19	15.6	14.9	0.72	20.0	15.4	4.66
Emanual Davis	54	57	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.58	19	-24	43	14.5	15.9	-1.35	17.0	16.5	0.50
Jelani McCoy	4	3	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-3	1	16.5	15.1	1.43	14.3	16.9	-2.56
Rashard Lewis	34	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-7	9	13.9	15.8	-1.90	15.7	17.4	-1.69
Ruben Patterson	42	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.21	-16	11	-27	16.1	14.4	1.67	17.6	16.2	1.42
Vin Baker	79	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.46	0	-5	5	14.7	16.8	-2.15	16.3	18.9	-2.60
Brent Barry	81	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	6	-17	14.8	16.8	-2.01	16.0	20.4	-4.38
Gary Payton	99	100	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	15.1	0.0	15.13	16.8	0.0	16.82
Horace Grant	72	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.04	-19	14	-33	16.2	12.2	4.00	16.9	16.5	0.39

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	58	58	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.71	-1	6	-7	15.9	18.1	-2.16	15.1	15.2	-0.19
Malik Sealy	87	87	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-10	25	16.4	19.6	-3.21	15.6	11.7	3.85
Kevin Garnett	75	75	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-6	17	17.1	15.9	1.25	15.5	13.9	1.60
Wally Szczerbiak	73	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	-4	13	16.5	17.7	-1.26	15.2	14.8	0.39
Terrell Brandon	80	78	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.25	7	-2	9	16.2	19.3	-3.10	14.7	16.9	-2.25
Dean Garrett	48	49	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	-3	11	18.1	15.7	2.39	15.1	15.1	0.02
William Avery	20	21	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.10	-2	7	-9	19.3	16.2	3.10	16.9	14.7	2.25
Rasho Nesterovic	17	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	9	-13	16.5	16.9	-0.42	13.8	15.4	-1.57
Anthony Peeler	40	37	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.25	-14	19	-33	18.3	15.8	2.55	13.8	15.9	-2.07
Bobby Jackson	2	1	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.24	-4	9	-13	4.5	17.1	-12.57	10.0	15.2	-5.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.88,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.85,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 98, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.92,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.77,0.91,1	92.4%
HOU 125, MEM 126	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.71,0.95,0.96,0.46,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.91,1	91.2%
CHI 108, IND 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.74,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.96,0.98,1	91.0%