NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	125		Excitement	8.7 [218]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +67.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	126		Comeback	1.2 [560]		LVP	Danuel House Jr. (HOU): -24.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.67	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.44,0.38,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.67	0.31	0.46	0.10	39	63%	0.72	3	-0.05	12	100%	0.22
Clint Capela	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.01	7	78%	0.13	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
PJ Tucker	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.01	5	90%	0.14	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	56%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.07	-0.03	17	47%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Danuel House Jr.	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24	-0.04	-0.21	-0.00	9	50%	-0.12	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.41	0.41	0.06	0.36	0.01	19	60%	0.47	5	-0.06	17	76%	-0.03
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.13	0.13	0.23	-0.10	0.01	23	69%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	9	61%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	8	40%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Bruno Caboclo	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	62%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Tyler Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	64%	0.03	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	9	43%	-0.00	4	-0.14	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	30.6	15.3	26.3	1.8	33.0	1.6	14.4	149.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -8.4%

MEM +13.4%

MEM +43.4%

MEM +5.8%

HOU -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	14.6	16.1	14.3	121.4	121.2	109.3
season	14.8	15.4		114.0	105.4
opponent	14.2	14.4		107.4	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	16.0	14.5	15.3	12.6	15.0	14.6
MEM	16.0	14.9	15.3	17.4	18.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	25	24	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.36	-7	6	-13	15.3	14.4	0.92	16.1	16.1	-0.02
Austin Rivers	30	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	3	-7	15.9	14.1	1.76	15.3	16.4	-1.11
Clint Capela	74	76	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.36	8	-9	17	14.5	15.0	-0.53	15.9	16.5	-0.60
Nene	12	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	6	-13	14.7	14.6	0.15	15.2	16.2	-1.02
Iman Shumpert	45	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	2	-5	14.9	14.4	0.44	16.1	16.1	-0.05
James Harden	88	89	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.62	11	-12	23	14.5	15.6	-1.15	16.4	14.3	2.06
PJ Tucker	75	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-3	5	14.3	15.6	-1.35	16.2	15.8	0.44
Danuel House Jr.	76	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	2	-5	14.8	14.1	0.69	15.7	17.3	-1.63
Chris Paul	81	84	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	0	-1	14.2	16.0	-1.81	16.4	14.8	1.54

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chandler Parsons	52	49	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.45	13	-12	25	15.4	16.7	-1.31	15.5	13.9	1.62
Jonas Valanciunas	73	69	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.59	5	-4	9	15.7	17.0	-1.33	15.2	13.4	1.85
Delon Wright	82	80	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.31	3	-2	5	16.1	15.9	0.24	14.6	14.5	0.13
Mike Conley	83	82	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	-2	5	15.7	17.6	-1.91	14.7	14.1	0.60
Tyler Dorsey	47	45	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.26	-1	2	-3	15.9	16.2	-0.33	14.0	15.1	-1.18
Bruno Caboclo	67	71	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.10	-1	2	-3	16.5	15.3	1.24	14.4	15.1	-0.73
Justin Holiday	76	76	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.21	-14	15	-29	16.4	15.4	1.01	14.5	15.0	-0.56
Joakim Noah	31	34	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.12	-4	5	-9	17.0	15.7	1.33	13.4	15.2	-1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.71,0.95,0.96,0.46,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, CHA 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.78,0.94,0.96,0.46,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.97,1	92.5%
TOR 108, WAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.92,1	91.9%
HOU 98, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.92,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.77,0.91,1	91.7%