NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	108		Excitement	9.9 [60]		MVP	John Wall (WAS): +42.3%
Washington Wizards	111		Comeback	1.5 [587]		LVP	Jose Calderon (TOR): -9.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Linas Kleiza	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.5,0.31,0.31	0.17	0.16	0.02	16	75%	0.43	3	-0.12	8	50%	-0.06
DeMar DeRozan	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Amir Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,-0.06,-0.06,0.02	-0.05	0.08	-0.00	7	33%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
Rasual Butler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Gray	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gary Forbes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	10	45%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ed Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.2,0,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	0.10	-0.15	0.03	23	58%	-0.02	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.11
Jose Calderon	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.09	0.32	-0.02	18	62%	0.49	4	-0.07	14	79%	-0.08
Trevor Booker	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.13	0.01	10	73%	0.24	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.04
Nick Young	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.03	-0.02	21	55%	0.09	1	-0.01	11	82%	0.06
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.05
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.0	1.5	29.5	15.6	29.0	2.0	46.4	2.4	19.4	171.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +25.3%

WAS +19.7%

TOR -16.0%

WAS +15.6%

WAS +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	WAS	NBA	TOR	WAS	NBA
this game	16.5	15.1	15.6	108.0	109.9	102.8
season	16.5	15.0		98.9	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		104.6	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	18.4	15.2	14.4	16.0	25.5	16.5
WAS	12.4	13.6	16.3	16.0	24.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	33	34	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.19	9	-12	21	15.6	17.0	-1.39	16.4	14.4	2.01
Gary Forbes	9	9	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.13	6	-9	15	12.0	17.0	-4.99	12.3	15.4	-3.05
Anthony Carter	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-9	15	12.5	17.1	-4.59	12.7	15.5	-2.77
Ed Davis	34	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-5	7	15.2	17.2	-2.02	12.7	16.4	-3.62
Aaron Gray	15	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	2	-7	18.5	16.2	2.27	13.7	15.4	-1.69
Linas Kleiza	69	69	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.33	7	-10	17	16.3	17.0	-0.71	14.8	15.8	-0.98
Rasual Butler	5	4	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	2	-7	15.4	16.6	-1.20	9.2	15.4	-6.10
Leandro Barbosa	22	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	5	-13	14.1	17.2	-3.08	12.0	15.9	-3.93
James Johnson	52	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	2	-7	16.3	16.8	-0.48	14.9	15.3	-0.38
DeMar DeRozan	78	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-3	3	17.2	14.2	2.97	16.3	10.5	5.79
Jose Calderon	63	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	1	-5	17.4	15.1	2.32	16.0	13.6	2.39
Jerryd Bayless	71	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	3	-9	17.5	14.1	3.38	16.0	12.9	3.14
Amir Johnson	37	38	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.31	-12	9	-21	17.8	15.8	2.06	15.6	14.8	0.75

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	50	50	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.40	7	-4	11	14.3	15.9	-1.64	15.4	17.7	-2.36
Trevor Booker	80	81	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.23	11	-8	19	15.6	13.0	2.60	17.1	14.1	3.01
John Wall	83	84	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.33	4	-1	5	15.5	13.2	2.36	16.5	16.9	-0.40
Nick Young	73	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	-1	5	16.3	12.1	4.20	17.1	15.0	2.08
Jordan Crawford	50	49	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.36	-3	6	-9	14.5	15.7	-1.21	16.3	16.8	-0.46
Chris Singleton	46	46	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	-4	11	15.9	14.5	1.40	17.0	16.1	0.93
Shelvin Mack	18	16	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.09	-1	4	-5	13.2	15.5	-2.36	16.9	16.5	0.40
Maurice Evans	33	32	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	5	-7	12.4	16.4	-4.03	14.4	17.5	-3.14
JaVale McGee	49	48	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	6	-9	16.4	13.9	2.44	18.3	14.9	3.41
Jan Vesely	23	20	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.20	-9	12	-21	12.3	15.9	-3.58	13.7	17.2	-3.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, CHA 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.78,0.94,0.96,0.46,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.97,1	92.6%
HOU 125, MEM 126	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.71,0.95,0.96,0.46,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.91,1	91.9%
HOU 98, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.92,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.77,0.91,1	91.7%