NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	83		Excitement	3.0 [1208]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +14.1%
San Antonio Spurs	105		Comeback	1.1 [1034]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -9.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Pondexter	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	-0.00	0.01	11	77%	0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	16	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Darrell Arthur	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	12	47%	0.00	4	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	8	12%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.00	-0.01	9	84%	0.14	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.00	-0.00	7	86%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.15	0.00	0.07	10	90%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	14	67%	0.10	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	6	47%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	69%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.7	28.5	17.0	30.2	2.8	33.0	142.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +38.1%

SAS +5.3%

SAS +0.1%

SAS +3.3%

SAS +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAS	NBA	MEM	SAS	NBA
this game	17.0	16.3	15.4	95.4	122.1	104.1
season	16.5	15.2		102.9	106.4
opponent	15.1	15.5		99.5	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.8	19.6	15.6	15.7	17.0
SAS	15.7	17.4	15.0	17.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed Davis	18	19	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.10	5	-27	32	17.1	17.0	0.10	17.7	15.9	1.83
Jon Leuer	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-22	22	13.8	17.4	-3.63	18.0	16.0	1.97
Austin Daye	15	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.17	-7	-15	8	15.9	17.3	-1.41	17.2	16.0	1.22
Tony Wroten	5	4	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-20	18	11.4	17.4	-5.98	18.5	16.1	2.35
Keyon Dooling	7	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	-16	10	16.3	17.1	-0.81	12.2	16.6	-4.40
Darrell Arthur	23	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-17	12	16.1	17.4	-1.29	15.0	16.6	-1.60
Jerryd Bayless	38	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	-13	4	15.6	18.1	-2.54	16.4	16.1	0.31
Quincy Pondexter	52	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-13	4	16.9	17.2	-0.32	16.3	16.2	0.03
Tony Allen	48	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.19	-16	-6	-10	16.9	17.2	-0.31	15.8	16.7	-0.91
Tayshaun Prince	51	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-15	8	18.3	15.2	3.09	16.1	16.5	-0.34
Mike Conley	55	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-8	-6	17.8	15.7	2.18	16.6	15.6	1.06
Marc Gasol	61	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.02	-12	-10	-2	17.8	15.3	2.41	16.2	16.5	-0.32
Zach Randolph	53	51	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.33	-28	6	-34	17.3	16.6	0.73	15.9	16.7	-0.77

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	46	47	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.24	28	-6	34	16.2	16.4	-0.22	17.5	16.5	0.94
Tiago Splitter	29	32	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.10	16	6	10	14.9	16.9	-2.00	17.4	16.8	0.54
Cory Joseph	21	22	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	10	2	15.7	16.4	-0.78	16.6	17.2	-0.53
Matt Bonner	31	28	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	11	0	15.3	16.8	-1.46	18.8	16.2	2.58
Kawhi Leonard	53	53	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.10	9	13	-4	16.7	15.5	1.25	17.4	16.4	0.97
Boris Diaw	38	37	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.16	11	11	0	16.9	15.7	1.14	17.2	16.9	0.36
Gary Neal	34	35	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.10	9	13	-4	16.4	16.2	0.16	15.8	17.9	-2.07
Tim Duncan	49	51	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	18	-14	16.0	16.6	-0.59	17.1	16.9	0.15
Tony Parker	59	58	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	16	-10	16.9	14.9	1.99	17.5	16.1	1.45
Manu Ginobili	37	40	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	20	-18	15.4	16.9	-1.54	17.6	16.6	1.05
DeJuan Blair	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	18.0	16.0	1.97	12.4	17.6	-5.24
Tracy McGrady	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	16.6	16.2	0.42	14.4	17.5	-3.12
Patty Mills	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	18.0	16.0	1.97	13.8	17.4	-3.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.69,0.83,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 106, CHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CHI 99, PHI 121	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
DET 104, SAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1	95.5%