inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 104 Excitement4.0 [1062] MVPTony Parker (SAS): +13.2%
San Antonio Spurs 111 Comeback1.0 [1290] LVPRodney Stuckey (DET): -5.7%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Monroe0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.011355%0.061-0.01367%-0.00
Chris Wilcox0.030,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.01456%0.0300.001100%0.00
Ben Gordon0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.001057%0.051-0.021100%0.00
Jason Maxiell0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00360%0.0200.00450%-0.03
Charlie Villanueva-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.000.00643%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Tracy McGrady-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.04-0.010.041162%0.012-0.03250%-0.01
Tayshaun Prince-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.022037%-0.0300.00367%0.00
Austin Daye-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.02642%0.013-0.0600%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.050.02-0.010.061562%0.034-0.092100%0.01
Rodney Stuckey-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00525%-0.041-0.01250%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.090.03-0.011577%0.194-0.0600%0.00
Richard Jefferson0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.110.000.01686%0.1000.002100%0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.01-0.01968%0.111-0.01475%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.01-0.011174%0.133-0.0510%-0.01
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.01869%0.0700.0000%0.00
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.08-0.010.05594%0.083-0.056100%0.01
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.01-0.01545%0.0200.001100%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00467%0.042-0.03450%-0.02
Steve Novak00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.02636%-0.011-0.01250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.72.530.415.724.22.330.4129.1
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +60.6%
DET -2.9%
DET -6.6%
DET -1.5%
SAS +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETSASNBADETSASNBA
this game16.715.015.5115.6120.7105.7
season16.715.5106.4109.3
opponent15.215.2103.6110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.716.517.116.316.7
SAS12.816.216.415.015.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Gordon4041-0.08-0.420.33-0.06-1-6517.116.30.7314.115.7-1.54
Tracy McGrady6667-0.16-0.340.19-0.274-111516.816.20.5715.015.0-0.05
Charlie Villanueva2527-0.17-0.330.17-0.191-8917.116.50.6315.614.70.89
Chris Wilcox2627-0.20-0.300.100.07-92-1119.515.53.9313.415.7-2.31
Jason Maxiell3031-0.23-0.270.03-0.06-6-1-515.717.1-1.4015.814.61.17
Greg Monroe6061-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.24-1-6517.115.71.4014.615.8-1.17
Austin Daye4646-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.17-4-3-115.517.9-2.4815.814.21.65
Rodney Stuckey2929-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.02-114-1517.016.50.4415.814.61.21
Tayshaun Prince7071-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.21-5-2-316.417.6-1.2014.716.0-1.30
Richard Hamilton5860-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.33-3-4115.918.1-2.1715.414.31.05

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker65630.400.100.300.178-1914.915.1-0.2116.916.10.74
Manu Ginobili60570.400.100.290.1010-31314.416.2-1.7717.415.51.87
Richard Jefferson53530.280.220.070.1452315.114.80.3117.415.61.77
Tim Duncan59570.280.220.060.2516-515.015.1-0.0917.215.81.44
Gary Neal47460.260.240.010.2025-314.915.1-0.2615.817.5-1.72
Antonio McDyess41410.250.25-0.010.0761515.314.80.5318.615.13.48
DeJuan Blair31300.230.27-0.030.0661515.814.61.1715.717.1-1.40
Matt Bonner41400.220.28-0.060.1625-315.015.00.0415.117.9-2.73
George Hill44440.180.32-0.140.24-29-1116.413.72.6615.917.4-1.53
Steve Novak220.000.50-0.500.0007-74.015.2-11.2412.016.8-4.77
Tiago Splitter220.000.50-0.500.0007-74.015.2-11.2412.016.8-4.77
James Anderson1515-0.000.50-0.500.09-310-1314.215.2-0.9615.416.9-1.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 100, HOU 1120.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,195.6%
HOU 81, MEM 990.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.5%
MEM 83, SAS 1050.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.69,0.83,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%