NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	106		Excitement	3.9 [1004]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +7.3%
Chicago Bulls	111		Comeback	1.1 [1257]		LVP	Eric Williams (BOS): -9.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.03	-0.03	-0.04	21	56%	0.08	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Brett Szabo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Lister	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.12	-0.01	0.13	22	63%	-0.00	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.00
Michael Hawkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Hamer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	11	58%	0.04	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Marty Conlon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	11	50%	-0.00	4	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
Todd Day	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	-0.01	-0.06	18	32%	-0.07	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	-0.00	-0.05	11	68%	0.10	2	-0.02	9	56%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	10	73%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	10	60%	0.07	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	7	81%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	2	33%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	8	67%	0.03	4	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Robert Parish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	67%	0.04	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	25.6	13.6	28.8	1.8	24.2	119.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +45.3%

CHI +8.8%

BOS -1.4%

BOS -4.7%

CHI +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	13.4	13.9	15.6	101.0	104.7	104.4
season	14.8	15.5		101.8	110.5
opponent	16.1	14.7		99.8	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.4	12.6	14.0	10.8	13.4
CHI	12.0	13.6	13.7	16.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brett Szabo	23	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.37	12	-17	29	9.5	14.5	-4.95	16.4	13.2	3.19
Steve Hamer	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-10	15	11.4	13.6	-2.26	10.3	14.3	-4.05
Michael Hawkins	15	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.31	9	-14	23	12.7	13.5	-0.77	16.7	13.4	3.28
Alton Lister	11	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-2	-1	19.8	12.6	7.18	12.3	14.1	-1.82
Todd Day	36	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	4	-13	15.2	12.4	2.79	13.3	14.2	-0.93
Marty Conlon	73	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	4	-13	13.7	12.8	0.88	14.4	12.8	1.57
Rick Fox	90	90	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-4	3	12.9	16.5	-3.59	13.3	17.2	-3.87
Eric Williams	81	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.03	-13	8	-21	13.6	12.7	0.88	13.6	14.8	-1.12
Antoine Walker	88	89	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-1	-3	13.3	14.1	-0.80	14.0	13.2	0.80
David Wesley	97	97	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.11	-12	7	-19	13.5	12.6	0.83	13.9	13.4	0.50

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	59	58	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.15	20	-15	35	13.0	15.1	-2.08	14.9	11.5	3.48
Ron Harper	50	49	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	-13	31	13.0	14.7	-1.64	15.0	11.9	3.09
Scottie Pippen	52	51	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.14	18	-13	31	12.8	14.9	-2.12	15.2	11.7	3.43
Luc Longley	47	46	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.13	17	-12	29	13.8	14.0	-0.25	15.5	11.8	3.68
Jason Caffey	73	73	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	4	-3	14.3	12.9	1.40	13.5	13.0	0.52
Toni Kukoc	42	43	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	5	-5	12.6	14.7	-2.09	13.0	13.6	-0.62
Randy Brown	50	49	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.36	-7	12	-19	15.1	12.9	2.18	12.2	14.4	-2.26
Jud Buechler	56	55	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.51	-14	19	-33	14.1	13.6	0.50	11.3	15.6	-4.29
Steve Kerr	47	47	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.50	-15	20	-35	15.1	13.0	2.08	11.5	14.9	-3.48
Dickey Simpkins	27	26	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.30	-8	13	-21	16.3	13.1	3.21	10.8	14.3	-3.48
Robert Parish	27	28	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.19	-5	10	-15	13.6	14.0	-0.42	12.6	13.7	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 83, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.69,0.83,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CHI 91, CLE 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
HOU 113, PHX 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.9%