inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 102 Excitement13.6 [10] MVPPaul George (IND): +108.2%
Miami Heat 103 Comeback10.8 [180] LVPNorris Cole (MIA): -33.7%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul George1.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.5,0.5,1.080.051.02-0.011663%1.426-0.341191%0.31
D.J. Augustin0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.050.08-0.00280%0.1300.00683%0.01
Tyler Hansbrough0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.030.070.00862%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Roy Hibbert0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.000.07-0.001850%0.132-0.06250%-0.01
Orlando Johnson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sam Young-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ian Mahinmi-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
George Hill-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.13-0.08-0.01926%-0.133-0.071100%0.01
David West-0.190,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.190.04-0.200.031762%0.014-0.20850%-0.16
Lance Stephenson-0.230,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23-0.15-0.08-0.001029%-0.144-0.10475%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.890.890.030.890.022455%1.064-0.17757%-0.05
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.310.310.140.180.007100%0.341-0.022100%0.04
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.290.290.080.230.011161%0.321-0.03683%0.04
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.270.270.000.270.001556%0.353-0.08425%-0.05
Mario Chalmers0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.01771%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.090.01-0.00822%-0.061-0.02250%-0.03
Udonis Haslem0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.05-0.01617%-0.092-0.0600%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.22-0.22-0.06-0.150.00425%-0.201-0.02475%-0.01
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.34-0.34-0.13-0.20-0.00425%-0.045-0.3000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.53.535.619.632.23.444.42.826.4195.3
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +92.1%
IND -65.5%
MIA +24.9%
IND -5.9%
MIA +4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDMIANBAINDMIANBA
this game16.316.115.4104.1105.1104.1
season16.115.7102.4110.2
opponent15.915.5102.499.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
IND13.419.816.818.210.816.3
MIA17.914.515.215.419.216.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
D.J. Augustin28291.02-1.522.530.904-5915.916.5-0.6115.016.6-1.64
Roy Hibbert75780.51-1.011.530.462-3516.216.6-0.3716.116.4-0.35
George Hill73740.02-0.520.540.05-10-117.014.42.6415.717.4-1.66
Ian Mahinmi20200.00-0.500.51-0.062-3518.215.82.3516.416.10.35
Paul George8887-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.442-3515.920.3-4.4216.017.0-0.99
Tyler Hansbrough2723-0.630.13-0.76-0.692-3514.716.9-2.2414.616.6-2.03
Lance Stephenson7578-0.660.16-0.82-0.57-32-517.114.03.1016.614.42.16
David West7375-0.680.18-0.86-0.50-65-1116.715.21.5116.614.62.03
Sam Young2116-1.220.72-1.95-1.05-65-1115.816.5-0.7216.616.00.60

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ray Allen37421.43-0.932.361.1410-91916.615.80.8016.016.5-0.49
Shane Battier55560.81-0.311.130.87-23-516.515.70.7616.715.80.86
Chris Bosh68670.54-0.040.570.395-4915.717.1-1.4116.017.0-0.94
LeBron James86860.53-0.030.560.443-2516.215.20.9916.217.5-1.34
Mario Chalmers40390.250.25-0.01-0.029-81715.516.5-0.9716.716.10.69
Norris Cole53530.180.32-0.130.48-1011-2116.415.80.5616.216.5-0.26
Chris Andersen3333-0.220.72-0.95-0.11-45-917.615.42.2416.816.10.70
Dwyane Wade7675-0.430.93-1.36-0.31-45-916.215.70.5716.316.30.03
Udonis Haslem4239-0.591.09-1.68-0.53-23-514.517.3-2.8016.316.3-0.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.86,0.72,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.23,0.16,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 96, ATL 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.15,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.15,0.15,190.3%
MIL 86, CHA 870.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.58,190.1%
CLE 89, ORL 910.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.92,0.98,0.83,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.32,0.58,188.8%