NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	89		Excitement	10.6 [32]		MVP	Nick Anderson (ORL): +30.5%
Orlando Magic	91		Comeback	12.2 [76]		LVP	Derek Anderson (CLE): -21.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	11	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.12	0.09	0.00	14	50%	0.12	5	-0.16	10	90%	0.19
Brevin Knight	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.05	-0.10	0.05	-0.00	7	50%	0.07	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Person	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07	0.01	-0.08	-0.00	11	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	58%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Bob Sura	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	13	36%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Derek Anderson	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.22,-0.22	-0.01	-0.20	0.00	18	49%	-0.06	1	-0.16	5	80%	0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Anderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.31,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.03	0.29	0.02	18	62%	0.48	4	-0.18	4	100%	0.06
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	67%	0.07	3	-0.05	11	73%	-0.04
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.01	-0.00	10	46%	0.09	4	-0.18	4	75%	0.00
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Derek Harper	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.36,-0.36,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.11	-0.01	11	41%	0.11	2	-0.26	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.15	-0.00	12	50%	-0.13	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.20
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.04	-0.17	-0.00	3	62%	-0.05	2	-0.16	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.0	1.6	24.8	15.8	21.4	2.4	48.3	1.5	17.8	159.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +88.8%

CLE -31.0%

ORL +11.7%

CLE -30.9%

ORL +11.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	16.3	17.0	15.6	94.7	93.8	102.5
season	15.4	16.7		99.4	100.3
opponent	15.6	16.0		101.4	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	14.8	18.0	16.7	15.9	16.4	16.3
ORL	16.5	17.1	19.1	13.5	23.1	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	32	34	0.41	-0.91	1.32	-0.12	18	-20	38	17.1	15.9	1.27	19.4	15.7	3.67
Vitaly Potapenko	28	29	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.07	9	-11	20	16.5	16.2	0.25	18.5	16.4	2.16
Derek Anderson	53	56	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.47	15	-17	32	15.9	16.8	-0.92	17.6	16.2	1.31
Wesley Person	84	87	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-2	2	15.9	19.9	-4.04	16.8	18.9	-2.12
Cedric Henderson	65	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.06	-16	14	-30	16.6	15.6	1.06	15.8	19.8	-4.01
Shawn Kemp	76	79	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.33	-10	8	-18	15.9	18.0	-2.12	16.6	18.8	-2.18
Brevin Knight	58	58	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.34	-16	14	-30	15.2	18.0	-2.78	15.9	18.7	-2.79
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	74	75	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.61	-10	8	-18	17.6	11.4	6.14	17.6	15.0	2.53

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Strong	54	55	0.92	-0.42	1.35	0.75	6	-4	10	16.1	18.2	-2.13	16.0	16.7	-0.78
Nick Anderson	91	88	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-8	18	16.8	19.3	-2.49	16.2	17.5	-1.30
Horace Grant	84	80	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.39	8	-6	14	16.8	18.5	-1.78	16.1	17.6	-1.51
Bo Outlaw	97	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	17.0	0.0	17.00	16.3	0.0	16.29
Derek Harper	75	75	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.33	-1	3	-4	16.5	18.6	-2.06	16.4	15.8	0.56
Dan Schayes	45	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	0	2	18.0	16.2	1.82	17.3	15.5	1.80
Kevin Ollie	27	24	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.11	-1	3	-4	18.8	16.3	2.46	15.4	16.6	-1.23
David Benoit	6	6	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	10	-18	19.3	16.8	2.49	17.5	16.2	1.30
Gerald Wilkins	6	6	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	10	-18	19.3	16.8	2.49	17.5	16.2	1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.92,0.98,0.83,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.32,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 86, CHA 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	90.5%
MEM 123, NOH 125	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.54,0.64,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	90.3%
BOS 99, DET 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.48,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.72,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.57,0.73,1	90.1%