NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	86		Excitement	11.5 [19]		MVP	Andrew Bogut (MIL): +13.5%
Charlotte Bobcats	87		Comeback	2.6 [495]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): -37.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bogut	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	-0.01	0.13	-0.01	16	50%	0.26	2	-0.12	6	50%	0.01
John Salmons	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.1,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.02,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	22	61%	0.25	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.00	2	67%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	14	47%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	43%	-0.01	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Luke Ridnour	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	7	31%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	-0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3,-0.3	-0.17	-0.14	-0.01	12	25%	-0.19	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	3	70%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	4	87%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.17,-0.22,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.08	0.01	28	51%	0.24	6	-0.20	7	86%	0.02
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.09	-0.00	6	50%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	7	17%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.06,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.12	-0.24	-0.03	15	35%	-0.13	3	-0.20	4	100%	0.10
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.37	-0.11	-0.27	-0.00	6	36%	-0.13	4	-0.25	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	34.4	15.5	23.5	2.5	31.4	1.5	11.2	145.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -28.3%

CHA +16.2%

CHA +64.9%

MIL -11.6%

CHA +8.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHA	NBA	MIL	CHA	NBA
this game	16.4	18.3	15.3	95.6	93.5	106.0
season	15.5	16.2		103.3	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.8	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	16.8	12.7	17.7	17.6	20.7	16.4
CHA	15.9	17.8	15.8	21.3	29.3	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	22	24	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.06	9	-10	19	15.1	16.8	-1.66	21.0	17.4	3.65
Ersan Ilyasova	32	33	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.10	3	-4	7	16.7	16.2	0.41	19.6	17.6	2.02
Andrew Bogut	63	66	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.08	3	-4	7	16.3	16.7	-0.40	17.4	20.7	-3.29
Luke Ridnour	32	33	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-3	5	14.8	17.2	-2.40	18.9	18.0	0.89
Kurt Thomas	21	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	2	-5	15.5	16.7	-1.13	18.2	18.4	-0.18
Charlie Bell	10	11	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	4	-9	11.3	17.0	-5.73	13.9	18.9	-5.02
John Salmons	79	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-1	1	16.7	14.5	2.20	18.3	18.7	-0.42
Carlos Delfino	69	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.44	-3	2	-5	16.7	15.3	1.38	18.2	18.7	-0.49
Brandon Jennings	66	68	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.36	-7	6	-13	16.8	15.2	1.55	17.6	20.4	-2.88
Luc Mbah a Moute	50	51	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.57	-3	2	-5	17.4	15.2	2.19	18.1	18.6	-0.56

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	76	74	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.46	10	-9	19	17.6	21.4	-3.77	16.8	14.7	2.07
Raymond Felton	70	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	-1	3	18.0	19.2	-1.17	16.4	16.2	0.23
Stephen Jackson	72	70	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.43	0	1	-1	18.4	18.0	0.49	16.1	17.5	-1.43
Tyson Chandler	38	36	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	-3	7	21.1	16.4	4.69	16.1	16.6	-0.42
Gerald Wallace	76	74	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.46	-2	3	-5	18.5	17.7	0.77	17.5	11.4	6.02
D.J. Augustin	30	30	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	-2	5	18.2	18.4	-0.15	15.8	16.7	-0.83
Stephen Graham	16	16	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	-4	9	19.6	18.1	1.48	16.8	16.3	0.52
Theo Ratliff	48	47	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.19	-7	8	-15	16.6	20.2	-3.53	16.9	15.9	0.97
Larry Hughes	32	30	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	5	-9	17.7	18.7	-0.98	13.9	17.6	-3.68
Tyrus Thomas	7	6	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.06	-6	7	-13	23.3	17.9	5.36	13.5	16.6	-3.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 89, ORL 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.92,0.98,0.83,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.32,0.58,1	90.5%
MIN 92, DEN 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.72,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.85,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.57,0.58,1	90.3%
IND 102, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.86,0.72,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.23,0.16,1	90.1%