NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	96		Excitement	11.5 [22]		MVP	John Wallace (NYK): +5.8%
Atlanta Hawks	98		Comeback	7.9 [113]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): -44.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wallace	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Latrell Sprewell	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	19	47%	-0.01	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	10	40%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11	0.03	-0.14	0.00	13	59%	-0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.31	0.03	-0.33	0.01	17	55%	-0.23	1	-0.07	6	67%	-0.15
Patrick Ewing	-0.44	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.44	-0.13	-0.32	-0.01	15	31%	-0.28	2	-0.16	2	100%	0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.00	6	83%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.02	0.02	-0.08	0.09	-0.01	10	56%	0.16	4	-0.14	12	83%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.08	0.02	13	53%	0.03	1	-0.12	4	100%	0.05
Bimbo Coles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	12	54%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.15	-0.04	20	32%	-0.12	1	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.08,-0.11,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.36,-0.43,-0.52,-0.44	-0.44	-0.14	-0.30	-0.00	25	38%	-0.34	2	-0.10	8	100%	0.16

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.1	2.7	31.2	19.3	21.5	3.3	43.4	1.6	19.2	167.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -7.3%

ATL +41.0%

ATL +37.6%

NYK -16.8%

NYK -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	15.5	16.6	15.2	98.0	98.0	101.7
season	16.1	15.4		100.0	99.3
opponent	15.2	15.8		105.1	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	13.1	14.3	16.1	17.5	18.3	15.5
ATL	17.5	16.4	19.9	14.6	13.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Brunson	11	10	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.33	-5	3	-8	15.5	15.5	-0.02	13.5	17.0	-3.49
Chris Dudley	19	17	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-5	8	12.5	16.2	-3.72	16.8	16.6	0.15
Kurt Thomas	47	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-1	0	15.3	15.6	-0.37	15.3	17.8	-2.50
John Wallace	24	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	3	-8	13.9	16.0	-2.06	16.4	16.7	-0.30
Charlie Ward	81	84	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.43	9	-11	20	15.0	17.6	-2.63	17.2	13.8	3.37
Marcus Camby	23	26	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	11	-24	16.1	15.3	0.81	17.3	16.4	0.95
Patrick Ewing	70	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.44	3	-5	8	16.0	14.2	1.71	17.1	15.4	1.68
Allan Houston	69	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.54	5	-7	12	15.9	14.4	1.50	17.1	15.5	1.59
Latrell Sprewell	83	86	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.45	-3	1	-4	15.5	15.1	0.48	16.8	15.8	0.99
Larry Johnson	63	65	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.70	-3	1	-4	16.3	13.9	2.46	16.0	17.9	-1.96

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaPhonso Ellis	41	39	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.57	9	-7	16	15.1	17.7	-2.61	16.8	14.6	2.16
Dikembe Mutombo	82	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.52	1	1	0	17.0	15.1	1.86	15.2	16.6	-1.40
Isaiah Rider	80	78	0.29	0.20	0.09	0.35	-2	4	-6	17.2	14.3	2.86	15.2	16.5	-1.36
Lorenzen Wright	27	27	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.15	2	0	2	15.4	17.1	-1.64	16.6	15.0	1.55
Bimbo Coles	63	61	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.21	-1	3	-4	16.9	16.2	0.72	15.1	16.1	-1.07
Alan Henderson	80	79	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	1	0	17.2	14.4	2.80	15.2	16.7	-1.57
Jason Terry	38	38	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	1	0	16.0	17.0	-1.07	15.8	15.2	0.57
Jim Jackson	79	79	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	5	-8	16.9	15.8	1.05	15.1	17.0	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.15,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.15,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 102, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.86,0.72,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.23,0.16,1	90.3%
MIL 86, CHA 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	88.2%
MEM 87, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.82,0.86,0.71,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.42,1	87.2%