inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 88 Excitement6.1 [576] MVPZach Randolph (MEM): +6.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder 84 Comeback1.7 [337] LVPKevin Durant (OKC): -37.1%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zach Randolph0.070,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.070.10-0.020.001756%0.101-0.031675%-0.07
Keyon Dooling0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.000.060.00150%0.0700.002100%0.02
Quincy Pondexter0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.002150%0.101-0.0400%0.00
Tony Allen0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.030.05-0.000.02673%0.092-0.063100%0.02
Darrell Arthur0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Marc Gasol-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04-0.03-0.010.001338%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jerryd Bayless-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.04-0.01938%-0.021-0.043100%0.02
Mike Conley-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.11-0.01-0.041833%-0.032-0.043100%0.01
Tayshaun Prince-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.011329%-0.082-0.052100%0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.060.060.05-0.00-0.011552%0.0600.001100%0.00
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.02662%0.0400.004100%0.01
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.020.00550%0.0400.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.02-0.030.031749%-0.011-0.0410%-0.02
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.030.031141%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.030.00520%-0.052-0.0600%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12-0.12-0.05-0.040.03540%-0.072-0.0500%0.00
Kevin Durant0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.37-0.37-0.22-0.15-0.012137%-0.187-0.191573%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.83.440.518.729.10.342.8159.6
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +25.2%
MEM +14.2%
MEM +1.2%
MEM +11.9%
OKC -2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMOKCNBAMEMOKCNBA
this game17.114.715.496.793.3104.1
season16.514.8102.9109.3
opponent15.515.5100.699.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM18.214.919.316.717.1
OKC16.013.916.712.614.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Allen55530.66-0.160.820.3112-82016.717.8-1.1116.212.63.58
Zach Randolph74740.59-0.090.670.1814-102417.615.02.6215.710.15.61
Marc Gasol78750.53-0.030.550.5013-217.117.2-0.0315.013.11.93
Quincy Pondexter41400.440.060.380.237-31018.016.41.6713.215.8-2.57
Keyon Dooling16160.400.100.310.0213-92217.217.10.0716.914.22.67
Mike Conley75740.100.40-0.310.36-913-2217.117.2-0.0714.216.9-2.67
Darrell Arthur17190.060.44-0.380.0022017.217.10.1313.615.0-1.39
Jerryd Bayless43430.020.48-0.47-0.0113-215.119.0-3.9112.316.9-4.59
Tayshaun Prince5656-0.290.79-1.070.33-2125-4617.816.11.7514.814.50.24

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Thabo Sefolosha33340.19-0.690.88-0.1010-142417.912.85.0518.116.51.62
Serge Ibaka6667-0.20-0.300.10-0.262-6815.412.62.8017.815.22.61
Kendrick Perkins3231-0.24-0.260.010.05-106-1616.813.53.3115.617.9-2.30
Derek Fisher5960-0.25-0.250.01-0.426-101613.417.1-3.7417.915.62.30
Nick Collison3433-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.17-3-1-212.316.1-3.7816.117.7-1.59
Reggie Jackson7678-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.34-51-614.714.40.3017.316.11.23
Kevin Durant9091-0.500.00-0.50-0.38-40-414.70.014.6817.10.017.13
Kevin Martin6061-0.760.26-1.01-0.29-1612-2813.517.0-3.5316.119.2-3.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 102, DAL 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.21,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,093.5%
NYK 102, IND 880.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.1,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,093.5%
DAL 113, DET 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,093.5%