NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	102		Excitement	5.8 [510]		MVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): +16.3%
Indiana Pacers	88		Comeback	1.8 [288]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -13.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lin	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	10	68%	0.18	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	8	67%	0.08	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Mike Bibby	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	12	46%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	6	32%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Landry Fields	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Steve Novak	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	5	43%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Carmelo Anthony	-0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.03	0.05	13	48%	-0.05	3	-0.07	7	43%	-0.04

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.05	0.03	13	69%	0.20	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	7	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Paul George	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.04	0.04	13	58%	0.03	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	16	42%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	29%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	0.02	15	37%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.7	29.0	15.8	31.0	2.5	32.6	141.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +10.1%

NYK +6.4%

NYK +17.6%

NYK +8.4%

NYK +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	15.1	15.7	15.6	108.5	94.6	102.8
season	14.9	15.7		102.3	104.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		101.1	100.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.0	15.8	15.4	16.7	15.1
IND	14.2	17.7	15.2	16.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	42	43	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.05	19	-5	24	14.7	15.5	-0.81	16.4	15.1	1.36
J.R. Smith	57	58	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.02	20	-6	26	14.7	15.8	-1.14	16.0	15.2	0.83
Steve Novak	33	34	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	4	6	13.8	15.8	-2.00	15.9	15.5	0.40
Carmelo Anthony	58	55	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	5	4	16.2	13.4	2.76	15.1	16.5	-1.37
Jeremy Lin	66	64	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	11	-8	15.6	13.9	1.74	15.1	16.9	-1.76
Jared Jeffries	29	28	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.09	9	5	4	14.3	15.5	-1.17	17.0	15.1	1.88
Tyson Chandler	62	62	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	13	-12	15.5	14.3	1.17	15.1	16.8	-1.73
Mike Bibby	19	21	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	8	-2	13.4	15.5	-2.13	17.0	15.3	1.69
Amar'e Stoudemire	63	61	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.14	-3	17	-20	15.2	14.9	0.32	15.8	15.6	0.19
Landry Fields	41	39	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	18	-22	15.5	14.8	0.70	15.1	16.1	-1.10

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	47	50	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-16	18	15.5	15.9	-0.40	16.1	14.0	2.10
Tyler Hansbrough	32	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-8	2	16.9	15.0	1.90	13.9	15.7	-1.84
Paul George	63	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-14	14	14.7	17.7	-3.02	15.4	14.6	0.81
A.J. Price	20	17	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-7	0	17.4	15.2	2.24	12.2	15.8	-3.52
Lou Amundson	20	18	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-7	0	18.3	15.0	3.39	13.6	15.5	-1.93
Darren Collison	73	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-7	0	15.2	17.4	-2.24	15.8	12.2	3.52
Roy Hibbert	68	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	-6	-2	15.1	17.3	-2.18	15.5	13.9	1.65
Dahntay Jones	17	17	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-3	-8	17.5	15.3	2.18	13.9	15.4	-1.51
Danny Granger	71	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.12	-9	-5	-4	15.1	17.7	-2.61	15.2	14.9	0.33
George Hill	54	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.04	-17	3	-20	16.3	14.9	1.36	14.9	15.4	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.1,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 102, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.26,0.38,0.52,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.6%
MEM 88, OKC 84	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0	93.5%
IND 87, PHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	93.5%