NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	102		Excitement	5.3 [602]		MVP	O.J. Mayo (MEM): +12.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	96		Comeback	1.4 [272]		LVP	Metta World Peace (LAL): -10.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.05	0.01	11	64%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.00	7	71%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	-0.00	-0.01	14	64%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	8	71%	0.10	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	9	56%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	13	50%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Marc Gasol	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Pargo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	6	36%	-0.01	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.03	-0.04	15	55%	0.15	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.14	0.01	0.10	16	73%	0.15	4	-0.10	9	78%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	75%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.01	0.05	9	69%	0.10	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.02
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	15	42%	-0.04	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.02
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	9	28%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	30.6	18.0	30.0	2.8	32.0	140.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +39.2%

LAL -14.4%

MEM +6.3%

MEM +14.9%

MEM +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAL	NBA	MEM	LAL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.6	112.1	107.9	102.8
season	15.6	16.2		102.0	103.8
opponent	15.1	15.7		103.5	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.4	15.1	17.1	15.7	16.1
LAL	15.5	14.9	17.1	16.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	53	52	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.24	17	-11	28	15.5	16.8	-1.24	15.8	16.1	-0.30
Quincy Pondexter	18	18	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.00	17	-11	28	13.7	16.7	-2.99	19.2	15.1	4.05
Jeremy Pargo	27	28	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	-5	16	14.6	16.7	-2.09	17.7	15.1	2.60
O.J. Mayo	36	36	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	3	0	15.8	16.3	-0.48	16.6	15.5	1.05
Hamed Haddadi	25	23	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	-1	8	15.0	16.5	-1.41	17.3	15.4	1.91
Marc Gasol	66	66	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	7	-8	16.5	15.0	1.41	15.4	17.3	-1.91
Tony Allen	55	53	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	3	0	16.3	15.8	0.48	15.5	16.6	-1.05
Mike Conley	64	61	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.28	-5	11	-16	16.7	14.6	2.09	15.1	17.7	-2.60
Rudy Gay	73	71	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.33	-11	17	-28	16.7	13.7	2.99	15.1	19.2	-4.05
Dante Cunningham	2	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.00	-1	7	-8	11.5	16.2	-4.67	14.5	16.0	-1.47
Marreese Speights	36	35	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.08	-10	16	-26	17.1	15.4	1.68	16.2	15.8	0.44

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	62	62	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.25	7	-13	20	15.9	16.0	-0.15	16.9	14.2	2.73
Troy Murphy	9	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	0	-6	16.6	15.9	0.69	16.3	16.0	0.26
Andrew Bynum	75	77	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-10	14	16.2	14.6	1.62	16.2	15.5	0.67
Pau Gasol	70	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-8	10	15.4	17.9	-2.56	16.5	14.6	1.88
Matt Barnes	38	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-2	-2	15.4	16.3	-0.89	16.2	15.9	0.29
Ramon Sessions	65	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.38	2	-8	10	15.8	16.3	-0.49	16.2	15.7	0.44
Josh McRoberts	24	24	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	6	-18	16.5	15.7	0.78	14.4	16.7	-2.24
Kobe Bryant	72	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	0	-6	16.0	15.8	0.21	15.6	18.3	-2.73
Steve Blake	30	29	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	11	-28	16.9	15.5	1.41	15.0	16.6	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.26,0.38,0.52,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 98, MEM 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.3,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.1,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.8%
NYK 119, BKN 104	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.2,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
NYK 102, IND 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.1,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%