inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 97 Excitement10.0 [63] MVPKevin Martin (OKC): +16.7%
Memphis Grizzlies 103 Comeback6.4 [381] LVPKevin Durant (OKC): -34.8%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Martin0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.07,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.080.06-0.021262%0.201-0.045100%0.03
Serge Ibaka0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.001357%0.051-0.024100%0.06
Thabo Sefolosha0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.030.04-0.01442%0.051-0.02475%0.03
Nick Collison0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.020.00571%0.071-0.054100%0.03
Hasheem Thabeet-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.040,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.04,-0.040.04-0.080.00883%0.194-0.222100%0.01
Kendrick Perkins-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.02520%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,0.01,-0.04-0.04-0.000.00530%0.011-0.0600%0.00
Kevin Durant-0.350,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.35-0.04-0.31-0.012747%-0.214-0.13367%-0.05

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zach Randolph0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.040.001755%0.152-0.07887%0.01
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.05-0.01550%0.0700.002100%0.01
Keyon Dooling00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.040.00956%0.081-0.1000%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.04-0.07-0.002149%-0.011-0.02786%0.05
Quincy Pondexter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.05-0.050.02-0.060.011851%0.072-0.11978%-0.02
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.050.02750%-0.041-0.032100%0.00
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.110.03-0.14-0.00947%-0.1100.001100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.63.733.119.430.53.439.53.420.4179.1
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC -26.3%
MEM +8.2%
MEM +49.9%
MEM +24.7%
OKC -6.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMEMNBAOKCMEMNBA
this game15.817.715.4102.1108.4104.1
season14.816.5109.3102.9
opponent15.515.599.1100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
OKC15.515.416.314.917.715.8
MEM17.218.116.420.015.717.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Martin48510.13-0.630.76-0.046-121814.716.9-2.2316.519.1-2.62
Hasheem Thabeet990.03-0.530.570.001-7815.215.8-0.6016.817.8-1.02
Nick Collison3940-0.09-0.410.320.09-60-615.416.0-0.6117.218.1-0.83
Thabo Sefolosha5353-0.19-0.310.13-0.221-7815.316.4-1.0617.617.9-0.27
Serge Ibaka6563-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.22-5-1-416.015.20.8818.516.12.38
Derek Fisher4949-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.17-71-815.516.0-0.5316.519.0-2.55
Reggie Jackson8485-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.24-71-816.013.82.2118.114.14.03
Kevin Durant8686-0.530.03-0.57-0.33-71-815.815.20.6017.816.81.02
Kendrick Perkins4239-0.670.17-0.83-0.49-60-617.314.52.7619.316.62.67

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Allen61620.92-0.421.340.7851416.919.1-2.2516.714.02.66
Mike Conley87880.56-0.060.620.2411-51617.718.2-0.5915.617.4-1.79
Jerryd Bayless50500.51-0.010.53-0.0118-123017.018.5-1.4513.917.8-3.86
Tayshaun Prince61610.350.150.210.2733018.616.12.5615.915.60.23
Marc Gasol86850.350.150.190.2342218.113.94.2215.914.41.53
Zach Randolph68700.190.31-0.12-0.079-31218.914.64.3016.314.41.86
Darrell Arthur32320.050.45-0.390.14-39-1215.418.9-3.5115.216.0-0.78
Keyon Dooling87-0.060.56-0.620.09-511-1618.217.70.5917.415.61.79
Quincy Pondexter2220-0.380.88-1.26-0.03-1218-3017.017.9-0.9215.615.8-0.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.34,0.29,0.43,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.72,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 96, IND 1030.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.68,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.99,191.1%
MIN 90, SAS 970.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.56,0.72,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.93,190.4%
GSW 98, DAL 1010.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.39,0.54,0.45,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.78,0.95,189.4%