NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	96		Excitement	10.5 [51]		MVP	Antonio Davis (IND): +19.3%
Indiana Pacers	103		Comeback	12.6 [128]		LVP	Mark Jackson (IND): -29.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Loy Vaught	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.06,-0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	0.01	14	57%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	15	43%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	7	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	6	36%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Rodney Rogers	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	13	48%	0.05	7	-0.20	5	80%	0.02
Malik Sealy	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,-0.05,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	0.06	-0.19	0.04	17	62%	-0.12	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Brent Barry	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18	-0.03	-0.17	-0.01	13	50%	-0.07	2	-0.11	4	75%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.02	0.17	0.00	10	64%	0.30	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.07	-0.00	6	42%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	62%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,-0.03,-0.27,-0.21,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.09	-0.13	0.04	28	63%	0.07	4	-0.15	7	86%	-0.09
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	3	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.09,0.01,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.03	-0.20	0.01	23	55%	-0.10	5	-0.14	5	80%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.22	-0.11	-0.03	5	14%	-0.14	6	-0.15	4	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	24.5	16.4	28.5	2.4	33.4	1.5	16.0	149.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +34.2%

IND +2.8%

IND +42.5%

LAC -27.8%

LAC -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	IND	NBA	LAC	IND	NBA
this game	15.9	16.5	15.6	99.0	104.0	104.4
season	15.8	15.3		102.9	103.6
opponent	16.3	15.1		101.9	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	14.0	14.8	17.0	18.2	15.4	15.9
IND	16.0	19.5	15.7	15.4	16.1	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	88	89	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-7	7	15.9	15.4	0.50	16.6	16.1	0.50
Eric Piatkowski	3	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-6	5	7.3	16.2	-8.84	8.7	16.9	-8.12
Darrick Martin	50	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-3	-1	14.9	16.9	-2.02	15.4	17.9	-2.47
Bo Outlaw	71	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.31	3	-10	13	16.0	15.5	0.49	17.6	14.1	3.46
Loy Vaught	51	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.15	-4	-3	-1	16.1	15.7	0.34	17.1	16.0	1.10
Brent Barry	57	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.30	-2	-5	3	16.1	15.6	0.51	17.4	15.2	2.21
Lorenzen Wright	65	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	4	-15	16.5	14.7	1.71	15.9	17.7	-1.77
Malik Sealy	91	92	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.30	-9	2	-11	16.0	14.5	1.49	16.3	19.4	-3.10

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	72	70	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.38	7	0	7	15.5	19.3	-3.73	16.2	15.1	1.09
Antonio Davis	67	67	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.39	4	3	1	16.1	17.5	-1.36	15.0	17.9	-2.85
Reggie Miller	86	84	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.19	7	0	7	16.3	18.3	-2.03	16.1	14.4	1.75
Travis Best	40	37	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	-2	11	17.0	16.2	0.76	15.7	16.0	-0.36
Rik Smits	78	79	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.05	11	-4	15	15.8	19.2	-3.36	16.3	14.1	2.26
Dale Davis	48	46	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.19	0	7	-7	18.4	14.8	3.67	16.5	15.3	1.19
Duane Ferrell	53	54	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.02	5	2	3	15.2	18.0	-2.80	16.8	14.7	2.07
Fred Hoiberg	41	39	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	9	-11	18.7	15.0	3.69	15.0	16.5	-1.54
Erick Dampier	11	10	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.03	-8	15	-23	20.7	16.0	4.70	11.4	16.4	-5.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.68,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 97, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.34,0.29,0.43,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.72,1	91.1%
GSW 98, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.39,0.54,0.45,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.78,0.95,1	90.4%
NJN 96, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.57,0.52,0.71,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.63,0.9,0.97,1	89.7%