inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 98 Excitement11.0 [37] MVPAnsu Sesay (GSW): +10.1%
Dallas Mavericks 101 Comeback5.9 [443] LVPDerek Fisher (GSW): -57.4%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ansu Sesay0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.020.06-0.03460%0.1000.002100%0.01
Mike Dunleavy0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.18,0.05,0.05-0.020.06-0.011054%0.102-0.05450%-0.10
Calbert Cheaney0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jason Richardson0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.02-0.070.110.022550%0.356-0.3400%0.00
Adonal Foyle-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.00167%0.011-0.024100%0.04
Dale Davis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.040.00367%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Clifford Robinson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.00333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Eduardo Najera-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Troy Murphy-0.330,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33-0.23-0.12-0.021933%-0.224-0.11837%-0.07
Derek Fisher-0.570,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.39,-0.47,-0.47,-0.55,-0.55,-0.57-0.18-0.41-0.022339%-0.373-0.201385%0.04

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devin Harris0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.01757%0.0400.0000%0.00
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00375%0.032-0.04650%-0.05
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.00543%-0.0500.004100%0.04
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.030.00540%-0.022-0.04540%-0.03
Josh Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.05-0.011064%0.114-0.17250%-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.07-0.01440%-0.061-0.052100%0.01
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.14-0.14-0.05-0.090.01950%-0.092-0.066100%0.04
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18-0.18-0.02-0.160.001852%-0.171-0.021275%0.04
Michael Finley0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.14-0.09-0.022234%-0.191-0.026100%0.10
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.22.336.516.426.52.334.31.619.4163.6
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.41.917.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW -52.8%
DAL +34.7%
DAL +31.3%
DAL +32.4%
DAL +4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDALNBAGSWDALNBA
this game16.914.015.597.096.2104.0
season15.014.9102.3108.2
opponent15.515.2103.4104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
GSW14.018.021.116.513.016.9
DAL15.312.811.615.515.514.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Calbert Cheaney31340.32-0.821.130.262-5717.216.80.3913.114.5-1.36
Ansu Sesay35350.25-0.751.000.163-6917.116.80.3412.714.7-1.94
Eduardo Najera1920-0.13-0.370.23-0.02-41-519.416.33.0812.414.4-1.99
Clifford Robinson2527-0.17-0.330.160.01-63-917.516.70.7411.514.9-3.35
Troy Murphy8588-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.402-5716.320.2-3.9614.411.82.68
Adonal Foyle5556-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.29-2-1-117.716.01.6115.412.42.93
Dale Davis1920-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.473-6915.617.2-1.5914.313.90.36
Jason Richardson7779-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.32-41-516.916.90.0114.313.11.24
Mike Dunleavy7275-0.590.09-0.67-0.50-30-316.019.2-3.2114.413.11.27
Derek Fisher8791-0.670.17-0.83-0.49-63-917.215.12.1514.113.70.34

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Erick Dampier59561.11-0.611.730.7313-102314.813.01.8717.116.80.30
Jason Terry59580.94-0.441.380.747-41113.115.2-2.0715.718.5-2.81
Josh Howard89850.60-0.100.700.455-2713.715.6-1.9116.817.3-0.47
Michael Finley80780.490.010.490.2010-71714.911.23.6917.415.41.98
Dirk Nowitzki78770.480.020.460.3930314.811.82.9516.917.1-0.21
Devin Harris35340.050.45-0.39-0.0021115.113.41.7019.315.73.62
Shawn Bradley1414-0.170.67-0.850.06-811-1913.614.1-0.5116.317.0-0.74
Jerry Stackhouse4845-0.230.73-0.970.03-912-2113.114.8-1.6316.317.4-1.18
Marquis Daniels2017-0.250.75-1.00-0.13-47-1111.014.7-3.7216.417.0-0.68
Alan Henderson4341-0.531.03-1.56-0.41-47-1113.314.5-1.1617.016.90.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.39,0.54,0.45,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.78,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 96, MIA 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.57,0.52,0.71,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.63,0.9,0.97,191.5%
LAC 96, IND 1030.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.68,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.99,190.4%
LAC 96, NJN 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.38,0.63,0.68,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.91,0.95,190.3%