inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 91 Excitement3.4 [1140] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +9.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder 120 Comeback1.0 [1265] LVPJeremy Lin (HOU): -12.2%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Patrick Beverley0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.001052%0.041-0.021100%0.00
James Harden0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.03-0.01-0.041944%0.052-0.047100%0.03
Chandler Parsons0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.01-0.031141%0.011-0.0100%0.00
James Anderson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Donatas Motiejunas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.062100%0.0000.001100%0.00
Aaron Brooks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00638%0.0000.001100%0.00
Francisco Garcia0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.070.000.07480%0.0000.002100%0.00
Carlos Delfino-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.000.031050%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Terrence Jones-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.07725%-0.0010.0020%-0.00
Greg Smith-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.02450%0.023-0.05450%-0.02
Omer Asik-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.03941%0.003-0.06425%-0.03
Jeremy Lin-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.14-0.01-0.03725%-0.034-0.092100%0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.010.011562%0.122-0.039100%0.03
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.010.00575%0.0800.002100%0.01
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.10-0.000.031165%0.0700.00450%-0.03
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.100.000.084112%0.0300.0000%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.080.000.064100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.01-0.03450%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.01764%0.042-0.0400%0.00
DeAndre Liggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02150%0.0010.00425%0.00
Hasheem Thabeet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ronnie Brewer00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Perry Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00-0.011556%0.064-0.064100%0.00
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.010.041546%-0.031-0.02580%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game33.22.833.317.729.22.629.3148.1
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +33.5%
HOU -0.6%
OKC +3.7%
OKC +10.1%
OKC +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUOKCNBAHOUOKCNBA
this game14.014.415.489.2118.8104.1
season14.214.8107.9109.3
opponent15.515.4100.6105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU14.113.813.914.014.0
OKC12.513.915.516.014.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Anderson17160.00-0.500.50-0.124-333713.614.0-0.4616.414.02.34
Donatas Motiejunas11100.00-0.500.50-0.124-333713.414.0-0.6813.814.5-0.67
Aaron Brooks17160.00-0.500.50-0.062-313313.614.0-0.4616.414.02.34
Francisco Garcia2424-0.01-0.490.490.17-6-231714.014.00.0416.013.92.09
Terrence Jones3836-0.04-0.460.420.31-12-17514.113.90.1714.714.20.53
Omer Asik5556-0.14-0.360.22-0.05-3-262314.313.60.7714.913.81.09
Carlos Delfino5658-0.18-0.320.150.20-13-16313.414.6-1.1613.815.2-1.32
Patrick Beverley5858-0.21-0.290.080.32-18-11-714.213.70.5114.514.30.14
Chandler Parsons5453-0.30-0.20-0.100.23-18-11-713.914.1-0.2513.914.9-1.01
Jeremy Lin6970-0.39-0.11-0.280.28-23-6-1713.914.2-0.2714.314.6-0.35
James Harden7372-0.590.09-0.680.23-28-1-2714.113.60.5913.915.6-1.66
Greg Smith3836-0.640.14-0.790.35-345-3914.313.80.5113.315.0-1.67

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Russell Westbrook65650.62-0.120.74-0.232902913.815.4-1.6114.113.80.34
Serge Ibaka57570.62-0.120.73-0.152632314.414.5-0.1314.413.40.98
Kendrick Perkins42420.55-0.050.60-0.152451913.215.3-2.1214.313.70.54
Thabo Sefolosha55550.53-0.030.57-0.082181313.415.6-2.1313.115.0-1.83
Kevin Durant72720.53-0.030.55-0.4734-53913.915.6-1.7014.313.21.14
DeAndre Liggins16170.000.50-0.500.12-433-3716.414.02.3413.614.0-0.46
Hasheem Thabeet10100.000.50-0.500.12-433-3713.814.5-0.6714.014.00.03
Ronnie Brewer16170.000.50-0.500.06-231-3316.414.02.3413.614.0-0.46
Perry Jones10110.000.50-0.500.12-433-3713.814.5-0.6713.414.0-0.68
Kevin Martin5153-0.040.54-0.59-0.31920-1115.313.51.8714.413.50.89
Reggie Jackson4849-0.050.55-0.60-0.14326-2314.814.00.7713.414.5-1.00
Nick Collison3736-0.100.60-0.70-0.31722-1516.513.23.2813.914.0-0.04
Derek Fisher2626-0.150.65-0.80-0.33623-1713.914.6-0.7014.014.0-0.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 98, HOU 1200.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
WAS 102, MIA 1290.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
PHX 95, DEN 1320.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.72,0.75,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%