NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	4.0 [1024]		MVP	James Anderson (PHI): +13.4%
Houston Rockets	120		Comeback	1.1 [1317]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (PHI): -12.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Anderson	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.21	0.01	0.09	18	79%	0.17	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Henry Sims	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	11	60%	0.07	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Casper Ware	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.07	10	32%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Hollis Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Davies	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	20%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
James Nunnally	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Varnado	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Elliot Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	40%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	16	44%	0.00	6	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.16	-0.02	-0.05	11	18%	-0.08	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.00	15	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.01	6	81%	0.14	3	-0.09	9	56%	-0.04
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.10	6	42%	0.05	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	14	57%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	44%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	17	65%	0.10	5	-0.09	6	83%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	59%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	31%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	50%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	30%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.0	32.2	15.4	27.2	1.8	28.3	131.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +30.4%

HOU +5.1%

HOU +7.4%

HOU +6.2%

HOU +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	HOU	NBA	PHI	HOU	NBA
this game	14.3	13.1	15.1	93.3	114.3	105.2
season	13.7	14.3		98.4	109.5
opponent	15.2	15.0		105.4	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.9	15.1	13.6	14.8	14.3
HOU	12.3	13.7	12.1	14.6	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Byron Mullens	7	6	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.07	4	-26	30	14.7	14.3	0.44	17.7	12.8	4.82
James Nunnally	37	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.06	-4	-18	14	14.6	14.2	0.41	13.2	13.1	0.09
Jarvis Varnado	50	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-20	18	14.1	14.5	-0.39	12.4	13.8	-1.38
Hollis Thompson	47	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-15	8	13.6	14.9	-1.36	14.2	12.3	1.81
Henry Sims	57	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.18	-12	-10	-2	13.9	14.8	-0.90	14.0	12.1	1.92
Brandon Davies	24	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-17	12	14.5	14.2	0.31	10.4	14.0	-3.64
Casper Ware	48	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	-12	2	14.8	13.9	0.90	12.9	13.3	-0.39
James Anderson	66	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	-7	-8	13.8	15.2	-1.35	13.3	12.8	0.48
Elliot Williams	55	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.05	-13	-9	-4	15.1	13.4	1.73	12.4	13.9	-1.50
Michael Carter-Williams	62	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.07	-17	-5	-12	14.1	14.5	-0.39	12.9	13.4	-0.45
Thaddeus Young	72	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.31	-29	7	-36	14.7	13.5	1.11	13.5	12.2	1.31

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	57	59	0.71	-0.21	0.92	-0.32	35	-13	48	12.6	13.7	-1.04	14.6	13.9	0.74
Chandler Parsons	83	84	0.66	-0.16	0.83	-0.39	36	-14	50	13.3	12.3	1.02	14.7	12.9	1.75
Terrence Jones	66	68	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.27	31	-9	40	12.5	14.2	-1.64	14.4	14.1	0.26
James Harden	70	71	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.16	26	-4	30	12.4	14.6	-2.26	14.3	14.3	0.02
Isaiah Canaan	30	29	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.24	3	19	-16	11.7	13.7	-2.04	15.8	13.7	2.10
Jeremy Lin	59	59	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.35	14	8	6	14.1	11.9	2.19	13.6	15.3	-1.70
Patrick Beverley	17	18	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	20	-18	13.4	13.1	0.27	14.6	14.2	0.37
Omri Casspi	28	26	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	22	-22	13.8	12.9	0.90	14.9	14.1	0.77
Donatas Motiejunas	39	37	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.13	-9	31	-40	14.2	12.5	1.64	14.1	14.4	-0.26
Omer Asik	48	46	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.17	-13	35	-48	13.7	12.6	1.04	13.9	14.6	-0.74
Jordan Hamilton	28	28	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.21	-15	37	-52	13.1	13.1	-0.02	12.5	15.0	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 91, OKC 120	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
UTA 85, CHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
WAS 102, MIA 129	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%