NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	95		Excitement	3.3 [1148]		MVP	Paul Millsap (DEN): +16.7%
Denver Nuggets	132		Comeback	1.1 [1300]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (PHX): -8.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Jackson	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	-0.00	-0.08	14	49%	0.09	2	-0.01	7	86%	0.02
Devin Booker	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	19	65%	0.13	4	-0.05	16	94%	0.05
Mikal Bridges	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	14	43%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Troy Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	42%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elie Okobo	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	11	61%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	-0.00
Quincy Acy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.02	0.00	8	87%	0.19	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.02	0.06	11	74%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	11	56%	0.09	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.02	9	72%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.14	0.00	0.12	11	70%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Gary Harris	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	57%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tyler Lydon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	12	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	9	73%	0.09	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Juancho Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	7	14%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	27.8	15.8	27.2	1.8	28.0	129.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +29.5%

PHX -2.9%

DEN +19.5%

DEN +3.1%

DEN +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	13.7	14.2	14.3	92.2	126.9	109.3
season	14.4	14.8		104.8	112.0
opponent	14.6	14.0		108.1	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.3	14.7	11.5	14.4	13.7
DEN	13.9	13.0	14.8	15.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Acy	35	36	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.15	-4	-33	29	13.1	13.9	-0.77	14.2	14.1	0.12
Troy Daniels	33	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.37	-13	-24	11	12.7	14.1	-1.45	13.9	14.3	-0.39
Jamal Crawford	47	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	-31	25	12.8	14.4	-1.59	13.5	14.7	-1.25
Kelly Oubre Jr.	66	66	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.22	-13	-24	11	13.5	13.9	-0.38	14.2	14.1	0.07
Josh Jackson	63	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.45	-26	-11	-15	13.8	13.4	0.33	14.9	13.1	1.78
Elie Okobo	63	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.55	-30	-7	-23	14.5	12.3	2.17	14.7	13.4	1.21
Mikal Bridges	74	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.68	-40	3	-43	14.4	11.7	2.68	14.1	14.2	-0.11
Dragan Bender	68	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.43	-33	-4	-29	13.9	13.1	0.77	14.1	14.2	-0.12
Devin Booker	66	67	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.02	-20	-17	-3	13.1	14.6	-1.47	13.7	15.1	-1.37

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	48	48	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.12	23	14	9	14.0	14.3	-0.28	13.8	13.5	0.34
Gary Harris	46	45	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.12	23	14	9	13.7	14.6	-0.86	13.9	13.4	0.50
Will Barton	56	56	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.36	28	9	19	14.1	14.3	-0.22	13.9	13.4	0.49
Jamal Murray	48	49	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.05	17	20	-3	14.5	13.9	0.65	14.3	13.1	1.25
Mason Plumlee	53	54	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.09	18	19	-1	14.3	14.0	0.30	13.5	13.8	-0.32
Torrey Craig	47	47	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.25	11	26	-15	13.9	14.4	-0.43	14.2	13.2	1.00
Monte Morris	57	55	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.31	13	24	-11	14.5	13.7	0.78	12.6	14.9	-2.29
Trey Lyles	50	49	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.28	10	27	-17	14.1	14.3	-0.18	13.3	13.9	-0.58
Jarred Vanderbilt	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	31	-25	13.7	14.2	-0.46	13.0	13.7	-0.71
Tyler Lydon	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	29	-21	14.3	14.2	0.18	14.1	13.6	0.50
Juancho Hernangomez	47	45	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.47	15	22	-7	14.5	13.9	0.65	14.0	13.4	0.54
Malik Beasley	51	50	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.47	13	24	-11	14.0	14.3	-0.34	13.2	14.1	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.72,0.75,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 99, MIA 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
HOU 91, OKC 120	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
LAC 81, GSW 88	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%