NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	81		Excitement	3.2 [1172]		MVP	Derek Fisher (GSW): +14.6%
Golden State Warriors	88		Comeback	1.0 [1271]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -10.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yaroslav Korolev	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.07	9	64%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
James Singleton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	7	57%	0.04	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	16	44%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Daniel Ewing	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	13	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Elton Brand	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.13	-0.00	-0.08	18	34%	-0.01	2	-0.04	8	62%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.01	0.03	11	45%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.01	-0.04	11	64%	0.16	2	-0.02	11	82%	0.02
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	8	42%	-0.00	3	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.13	0.00	-0.10	19	40%	0.06	5	-0.09	2	50%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	19	39%	-0.02	3	-0.02	13	46%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.8	26.1	16.4	25.3	0.8	45.2	140.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +21.1%

GSW +9.3%

GSW +7.9%

GSW +11.9%

LAC -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	14.4	16.2	15.6	87.1	92.6	104.4
season	15.2	14.8		103.9	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.2	15.3	12.6	14.7	14.4
GSW	13.6	16.7	15.6	19.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Ewing	32	32	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.12	6	-13	19	15.3	13.9	1.36	15.9	16.4	-0.44
Yaroslav Korolev	1	0	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-6	5	11.0	14.4	-3.42	0.0	16.2	-16.23
James Singleton	8	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-6	5	18.6	14.0	4.64	17.9	16.1	1.75
Vladimir Radmanovic	55	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.52	12	-19	31	14.3	14.5	-0.15	17.2	14.8	2.40
Cuttino Mobley	77	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	0	-7	14.4	14.2	0.17	15.9	17.7	-1.83
Chris Kaman	65	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-1	-5	14.4	14.4	-0.01	17.7	13.0	4.70
Shaun Livingston	77	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	2	-11	14.2	15.4	-1.19	14.9	23.2	-8.27
Elton Brand	79	81	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.18	-13	6	-19	14.1	15.9	-1.81	15.8	18.7	-2.91
Sam Cassell	71	73	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.12	-16	9	-25	14.1	15.3	-1.22	16.4	15.7	0.72

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	82	80	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-8	23	16.4	15.1	1.34	14.6	13.3	1.25
Adonal Foyle	73	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.08	16	-9	25	16.5	15.2	1.31	14.5	14.1	0.40
Mickael Pietrus	77	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-6	19	16.1	16.9	-0.81	14.0	16.2	-2.16
Jason Richardson	84	81	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.40	3	4	-1	16.3	15.6	0.67	14.3	14.8	-0.51
Ike Diogu	49	47	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	-1	9	16.0	16.4	-0.39	13.6	15.2	-1.60
Mike Dunleavy	59	58	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.28	-6	13	-19	16.4	16.0	0.42	15.2	13.1	2.13
Monta Ellis	32	29	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	11	-15	14.8	17.0	-2.14	14.6	14.3	0.29
Zarko Cabarkapa	19	16	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.24	-10	17	-27	16.9	16.1	0.89	14.2	14.4	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 85, CHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MIA 69, SAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
WAS 82, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%