inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 69 Excitement3.1 [1142] MVPTerry Porter (SAS): +11.6%
San Antonio Spurs 93 Comeback1.0 [899] LVPJamal Mashburn (MIA): -11.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
P.J. Brown0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.011162%0.041-0.024100%0.02
Harold Jamison-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03333%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Mark Strickland-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.070.00-0.06833%-0.001-0.012100%0.01
Bruce Bowen-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dan Majerle-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.010.00354%-0.001-0.037100%0.03
Duane Causwell-0.040,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.020.000.02852%-0.0400.00956%-0.01
Anthony Carter-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.11-0.00-0.06633%-0.014-0.0400%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.031531%-0.061-0.012100%0.01
Tim Hardaway-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.021020%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Jamal Mashburn-0.120,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.13-0.01-0.021523%-0.101-0.0200%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.02-0.01888%0.142-0.021100%0.00
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.010.00974%0.1000.0010%-0.00
Mario Elie0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.01460%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Jaren Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.000.04560%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Felton Spencer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.05340%-0.001-0.00450%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.000.05662%-0.0100.00425%-0.02
Jerome Kersey0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00744%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00437%-0.0100.0000%0.00
David Robinson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.011254%-0.011-0.011182%-0.01
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.00125%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.14-0.01-0.081229%-0.042-0.03450%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.829.318.733.02.527.3136.8
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +52.1%
MIA -0.3%
MIA -5.7%
SAS +3.9%
MIA -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIASASNBAMIASASNBA
this game17.216.915.281.2110.7101.7
season15.715.5101.2101.6
opponent15.415.995.998.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA20.017.515.216.617.2
SAS20.016.013.619.416.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Carter45430.09-0.590.690.061-252616.717.7-1.0317.216.60.58
Bruce Bowen41380.03-0.530.570.001-252616.617.7-1.1018.215.92.29
Harold Jamison1919-0.01-0.490.490.08-3-211816.717.3-0.6019.216.32.88
Duane Causwell3737-0.18-0.320.140.20-13-11-217.317.00.2618.615.63.07
Clar. Weatherspoon5350-0.18-0.320.140.05-8-16816.518.3-1.8115.519.1-3.63
Mark Strickland4143-0.19-0.310.120.22-14-10-415.818.4-2.6515.918.0-2.14
Jamal Mashburn3839-0.48-0.02-0.470.04-18-6-1218.715.92.8217.616.31.33
P.J. Brown5049-0.520.02-0.530.13-22-2-2017.616.51.0416.317.9-1.59
Dan Majerle5453-0.520.02-0.530.10-21-3-1817.816.01.8116.417.8-1.39
Tim Hardaway4749-0.560.06-0.610.12-23-1-2217.716.51.1816.617.4-0.76

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Robinson55550.61-0.110.73-0.1225-12616.018.7-2.6417.616.31.32
Avery Johnson47460.59-0.090.69-0.1726-22816.018.1-2.1617.516.70.80
Mario Elie47480.52-0.020.54-0.122222016.617.4-0.8517.916.21.61
Terry Porter43420.390.110.280.071113-215.418.6-3.1916.917.4-0.44
Samaki Walker65650.370.130.24-0.191951416.817.3-0.4316.618.8-2.15
Malik Rose880.090.41-0.33-0.06519-1421.616.45.1922.016.65.35
Jerome Kersey28300.070.43-0.360.01222-2018.516.22.3018.616.42.24
Jaren Jackson27280.040.46-0.43-0.14618-1217.416.70.7116.017.7-1.77
Felton Spencer24240.020.48-0.45-0.15618-1218.216.41.7915.517.8-2.25
Antonio Daniels3739-0.090.59-0.69-0.03-226-2818.116.02.1616.717.5-0.80
Steve Kerr3940-0.110.61-0.73-0.11024-2417.416.60.8016.517.8-1.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 83, ORL 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
LAC 81, GSW 880.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
IND 91, WAS 1170.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%