NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	83		Excitement	3.2 [1112]		MVP	Nick Anderson (ORL): +16.9%
Orlando Magic	96		Comeback	1.0 [356]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -10.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	0.00	0.08	5	110%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nate McMillan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	12	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	11	48%	-0.03	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.19	0.01	0.03	19	72%	0.17	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.04	-0.04	12	62%	0.12	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	14	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	13	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.15	0.00	-0.10	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.01	11	36%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	23.6	17.5	24.3	2.4	28.6	122.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +30.0%

ORL +0.6%

ORL +7.6%

ORL +11.3%

ORL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	ORL	NBA	SEA	ORL	NBA
this game	16.8	17.7	15.6	97.6	117.1	102.5
season	15.3	16.7		109.3	100.3
opponent	15.6	16.2		101.4	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	17.7	14.7	19.6	15.4	16.8
ORL	15.8	18.0	17.2	19.8	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Perkins	22	20	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.13	5	-18	23	17.8	16.5	1.30	18.1	17.5	0.60
Nate McMillan	9	9	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-15	17	17.1	16.8	0.33	18.7	17.6	1.09
Stephen Howard	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	13.3	17.1	-3.84	16.0	17.9	-1.85
Aaron Williams	36	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.33	11	-24	35	15.7	17.6	-1.89	18.8	16.9	1.83
David Wingate	17	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.13	4	-17	21	14.3	17.4	-3.15	19.4	17.2	2.17
Dale Ellis	45	41	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-18	23	15.9	17.9	-2.01	18.0	17.3	0.71
Greg Anthony	48	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-11	9	15.9	18.1	-2.20	18.1	17.2	0.97
Jim McIlvaine	23	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-1	-11	19.3	15.9	3.42	17.1	17.9	-0.78
Detlef Schrempf	48	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.22	-22	9	-31	18.0	15.3	2.68	17.2	18.3	-1.13
Hersey Hawkins	53	52	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	6	-25	16.8	16.9	-0.15	16.7	19.4	-2.64
Vin Baker	59	58	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.11	-21	8	-29	16.8	16.8	0.06	17.7	17.6	0.16
Gary Payton	58	57	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.04	-19	6	-25	17.8	14.6	3.25	17.3	18.6	-1.30

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Harper	62	62	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.12	23	-10	33	16.7	20.7	-3.97	17.0	16.3	0.64
Nick Anderson	66	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.13	22	-9	31	17.0	20.4	-3.41	16.9	16.4	0.50
Horace Grant	73	75	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	0	13	17.6	18.2	-0.59	17.0	15.5	1.49
Dan Schayes	46	46	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.19	18	-5	23	17.1	18.5	-1.39	18.4	15.0	3.40
Bo Outlaw	75	78	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	6	1	17.6	18.6	-0.96	17.2	12.4	4.78
Gerald Wilkins	23	22	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.25	-3	16	-19	19.9	16.8	3.02	15.1	17.4	-2.26
Derek Strong	45	49	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.31	-5	18	-23	18.4	16.8	1.61	15.1	19.2	-4.09
Kevin Ollie	20	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.24	-10	23	-33	20.7	16.7	3.97	16.3	17.0	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 69, SAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
PHI 99, MIA 125	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
SAC 99, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%