NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	99		Excitement	4.1 [973]		MVP	Chris Mills (GSW): +10.8%
Golden State Warriors	111		Comeback	1.3 [328]		LVP	Jason Williams (SAC): -15.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	13	66%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	9	37%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	19	49%	0.00	3	-0.06	11	55%	-0.02
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	-0.01	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.11	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.02	-0.06	14	36%	-0.01	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.23	-0.01	-0.09	17	14%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Williams	-0.15	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.19	-0.01	-0.05	13	34%	-0.03	6	-0.12	3	33%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.01	11	71%	0.11	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Jason Caffey	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.03	0.00	-0.12	16	65%	0.14	6	-0.05	8	50%	-0.02
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	8	74%	0.06	1	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04
Tim Legler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	20	48%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Drew Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bill Curley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	9	48%	-0.04	2	-0.02	9	56%	-0.03
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	14	33%	-0.09	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.4	2.3	31.6	130.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +33.3%

GSW +4.4%

SAC -12.5%

GSW +24.9%

SAC -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	GSW	NBA	SAC	GSW	NBA
this game	12.7	14.0	15.2	91.7	102.8	101.7
season	13.8	14.7		102.9	97.2
opponent	14.7	14.7		105.8	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.3	12.1	12.6	13.9	12.7
GSW	11.7	15.0	12.7	17.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bill Wennington	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-19	26	11.3	12.8	-1.48	22.0	13.4	8.64
Peja Stojakovic	55	56	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.22	5	-17	22	13.0	12.4	0.61	14.7	13.3	1.37
Scot Pollard	31	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-7	2	12.8	12.6	0.20	13.3	14.3	-1.00
Lawrence Funderburke	48	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.04	-10	-2	-8	13.1	12.3	0.79	13.6	14.3	-0.75
Vlade Divac	65	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-3	-6	12.6	12.8	-0.21	12.9	15.5	-2.54
Corliss Williamson	77	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-7	2	12.7	12.5	0.17	14.5	12.8	1.71
Tony Delk	100	100	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	-4	-4	12.6	13.6	-1.03	14.1	12.1	2.03
Tyrone Corbin	72	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	1	-14	12.7	12.6	0.13	14.2	13.6	0.60
Jason Williams	85	82	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.11	-22	10	-32	12.4	13.8	-1.42	13.3	16.2	-2.89

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	85	86	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.06	14	-2	16	14.1	13.7	0.33	12.4	13.7	-1.33
Chris Mills	82	81	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	3	6	14.3	13.1	1.22	12.7	12.6	0.10
Vonteego Cummings	82	82	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	4	4	14.3	13.2	1.11	12.5	13.2	-0.64
Adonal Foyle	53	53	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	-2	16	13.4	14.5	-1.11	12.7	12.7	0.02
Jason Caffey	85	86	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.26	1	11	-10	14.2	13.1	1.10	12.7	12.7	-0.08
Tony Farmer	31	32	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	2	8	13.4	14.2	-0.86	12.5	12.7	-0.24
Donyell Marshall	61	60	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	9	-6	14.0	14.0	-0.04	13.0	12.3	0.71
Drew Barry	26	26	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	8	-4	13.2	14.3	-1.11	13.2	12.5	0.64
Tim Legler	23	22	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.08	-2	14	-16	13.7	14.1	-0.33	13.7	12.4	1.33
Bill Curley	12	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	13	-14	14.5	13.9	0.56	11.4	12.8	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 72, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
LAL 80, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
SEA 83, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%