NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	80		Excitement	3.5 [1101]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +12.4%
New York Knicks	92		Comeback	1.0 [901]		LVP	Wesley Johnson (LAL): -8.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tarik Black	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.01	0.03	13	59%	0.02	2	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.02	15	50%	0.01	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Ed Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	64%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	6	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	12	27%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	12	44%	-0.05	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	25	57%	0.15	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	11	52%	0.06	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	70%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	90%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	7	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.05
Jason Smith	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	40%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	30.4	17.8	21.4	2.0	28.5	126.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +49.8%

LAL -8.3%

LAL -0.2%

NYK +6.6%

NYK +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NYK	NBA	LAL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.2	16.0	15.1	89.9	102.2	104.2
season	15.5	16.1		101.9	98.5
opponent	15.0	14.7		108.3	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.4	16.3	19.1	14.4	16.2
NYK	13.4	15.7	16.9	18.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Johnson	54	56	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.39	13	-25	38	14.5	18.8	-4.31	16.8	14.6	2.22
Jordan Hill	15	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-8	4	16.5	16.2	0.30	12.3	16.8	-4.44
Jeremy Lin	43	44	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-12	12	15.3	17.1	-1.81	17.4	14.6	2.82
Ed Davis	40	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.20	3	-15	18	14.0	18.0	-4.07	17.8	14.4	3.41
Carlos Boozer	45	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-7	2	14.9	17.5	-2.63	17.4	14.4	2.96
Tarik Black	31	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	-1	-10	18.9	14.8	4.13	15.6	16.1	-0.55
Wayne Ellington	70	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-6	0	16.6	14.7	1.88	16.2	15.2	0.99
Robert Sacre	42	40	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	2	-16	18.0	14.6	3.38	14.3	17.3	-3.05
Ryan Kelly	40	39	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.03	-18	6	-24	18.1	14.6	3.52	14.6	17.0	-2.38
Jordan Clarkson	65	66	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.05	-18	6	-24	16.4	15.7	0.69	14.8	19.2	-4.48

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Calderon	48	48	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.21	28	-16	44	14.4	17.8	-3.37	18.6	13.4	5.28
Jason Smith	62	64	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.17	25	-13	38	15.9	16.0	-0.10	17.2	13.6	3.63
Langston Galloway	55	55	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-4	20	14.7	17.9	-3.23	17.0	14.9	2.06
Carmelo Anthony	62	63	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.11	21	-9	30	14.8	18.6	-3.83	17.2	13.8	3.34
Lou Amundson	67	67	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.05	19	-7	26	15.1	18.4	-3.26	16.8	14.5	2.28
Shane Larkin	40	38	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.24	-8	20	-28	17.8	14.5	3.39	14.3	17.6	-3.36
Lance Thomas	30	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.25	-9	21	-30	17.5	15.2	2.25	15.2	16.7	-1.46
Quincy Acy	40	38	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.32	-13	25	-38	18.0	14.4	3.61	13.5	18.3	-4.78
Tim Hardaway Jr.	46	44	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.41	-19	31	-50	17.6	14.2	3.36	13.5	18.9	-5.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
ORL 104, SEA 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
CHI 72, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%