NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	72		Excitement	3.3 [1117]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +10.3%
New Jersey Nets	90		Comeback	1.1 [1233]		LVP	Donyell Marshall (CHI): -15.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Eddie Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jay Williams	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	15	41%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	9	21%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.17	-0.01	-0.09	18	34%	-0.05	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	9	44%	-0.06	4	-0.09	9	67%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.17	-0.02	-0.04	9	18%	-0.10	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	18	58%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	8	47%	0.04	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Tamar Slay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	9	59%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	9	41%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	14	49%	-0.01	1	-0.02	13	77%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	12	31%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	11	25%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	27.4	15.5	24.2	2.4	25.6	122.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +20.1%

NJN +6.0%

NJN +1.5%

NJN +23.5%

CHI -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NJN	NBA	CHI	NJN	NBA
this game	14.1	14.7	15.5	72.7	89.1	101.6
season	15.0	15.0		98.3	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.1		96.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.7	12.8	15.9	15.4	14.1
NJN	14.0	14.3	13.5	17.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corie Blount	12	12	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.08	6	-24	30	11.2	14.5	-3.36	14.1	14.8	-0.67
Lonny Baxter	43	45	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.34	13	-31	44	13.1	14.9	-1.78	15.5	14.0	1.47
Jamal Crawford	47	46	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-19	20	14.6	13.7	0.86	15.1	14.3	0.80
Rick Brunson	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-25	32	14.8	14.0	0.78	18.2	14.2	4.06
Fred Hoiberg	22	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.22	7	-25	32	15.1	13.8	1.31	16.4	14.2	2.28
Trenton Hassell	56	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-17	16	14.2	14.0	0.21	15.2	14.0	1.17
Eddy Curry	35	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-10	2	14.5	13.9	0.52	15.1	14.5	0.59
Tyson Chandler	47	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-7	-4	15.3	13.1	2.24	15.4	14.0	1.46
Eddie Robinson	28	28	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.24	-19	1	-20	13.7	14.3	-0.62	13.0	15.3	-2.36
Jalen Rose	77	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.25	-25	7	-32	13.8	15.1	-1.31	14.2	16.4	-2.28
Jay Williams	56	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.17	-24	6	-30	13.7	14.6	-0.90	13.9	15.7	-1.78
Donyell Marshall	61	61	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.47	-36	18	-54	14.3	13.8	0.50	13.4	16.7	-3.31

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	63	62	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.21	25	-7	32	13.9	16.0	-2.17	14.2	14.1	0.11
Jason Kidd	65	62	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.37	30	-12	42	14.2	15.6	-1.46	14.7	13.1	1.57
Kerry Kittles	62	62	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.26	26	-8	34	14.5	15.0	-0.57	14.4	13.6	0.75
Jason Collins	58	55	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.10	20	-2	22	13.8	15.8	-1.99	14.6	13.5	1.12
Brian Scalabrine	68	68	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	8	2	15.0	14.1	0.91	14.5	13.3	1.21
Rodney Rogers	54	51	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.26	-2	20	-22	14.6	14.7	-0.05	13.4	14.9	-1.58
Aaron Williams	43	44	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	20	-22	15.8	13.8	1.99	13.5	14.6	-1.12
Anthony Johnson	21	22	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.30	-10	28	-38	17.2	14.0	3.24	14.6	14.0	0.66
Lucious Harris	50	49	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	19	-20	15.7	13.7	2.03	14.0	14.2	-0.24
Tamar Slay	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	13.8	14.7	-0.89	14.0	14.1	-0.13
Chris Childs	15	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	20	-22	13.3	14.9	-1.57	10.9	14.7	-3.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
CHA 73, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MEM 93, UTA 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%